Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,340 at 13 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,677 at 14 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 81676.72 / 83339.65 − 1 = -2.00%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.00% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology