Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,384 at 14 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 1 hour horizon, $82,651 at 14 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 82651.43 / 83383.68 − 1 = -0.88%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.88% against a neutral band of ±0.20% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology