Published 14 Oct 2026, 19:04 UTC · fetched 15 Oct 2026, 05:04 UTC
K A L E O
@CryptoKaleo
Quoting · 12 Oct 2026, 21:59 UTC · context given to the AI
I’m incredibly confident on the fact we’re early in this bull market. At the same time - I think that’s as good of a reason as any to not touch leverage here. Why? There’s enough upside in just holding quality spot bags that you don’t need the additional risk of opening a long. “But I feel sidelined because I don’t have the spot bags I wish I did and longing gives me extra exposure.” I understand the feeling bros, trust me I do. But let me tell you this from experience - limited exposure is better than no exposure. The market could easily have another wick lower before the next leg up, and if it does - there’s a decent chance you sideline yourself completely. The more patient you are, the more opportunities you’ll have. A real bull market will print money for you without taking on the additional risk. Don’t let greed win. Just food for thought from an old plumber.#Bitcoin / $BTC So when should you consider going more risk on? Historically the answer would be shortly after US midterm elections, which marked the bear market lows in each of the previous cycles. Not saying the market sells off aggressively immediately after printing new lows this time like it did the others, but I think it's a decent bet we'll see a lot of volatility leading up to and shortly after November 3rd. e.g. as bullish as I am here, why I don't think being in levered long positions makes sense... it makes a hell of a lot more sense to sit in spot positions you have a solid thesis for that you can keep stacking regardless of what the market does. We're still early enough int he bull market that whether we send immediately or if we wait a couple of months to start sending, you should print multiples fairly easily soon enough by just stacking and being patient. And if we somehow get any sort of a dip - being liquid enough to stack your highest conviction names = a truly generational entry. So don't gamble and risk sidelining yourself if your thesis is right - but your timing isn't. Patient bulls will continue to win.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
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Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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