Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,621 at 18 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,728 at 19 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC.
3. r = 82728.2 / 81621.28 − 1 = +1.36%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.36% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology