Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,422 at 19 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,396 at 20 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 2396.35 / 2421.71 − 1 = -1.05%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.05% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology