Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,381 at 20 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,465 at 21 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
3. r = 2465.3 / 2381.36 − 1 = +3.52%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -3.52% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology