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@100trillionUSD · All models are wrong, some are useful. DYOR! 👉 https://t.co/4UQOQ8eRA3
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 13 more calls to rank
Scored calls
2
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
1 correct / 1 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-0.06%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-0.1%
Equal stake on all 2 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
-0.30%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (65) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 50% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.4% | 50 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −1.3% | 65 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.30% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 30d
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 28.6% |
52 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.03 | 77 | 25% |