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@100trillionUSD · All models are wrong, some are useful. DYOR! 👉 https://t.co/4UQOQ8eRA3
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #6 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
15
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
55.6%
5 correct / 4 incorrect · 6 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.24%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+3.6%
Equal stake on all 15 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.23%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (66) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 58.0% | 70 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.3% | 76 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.23% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 37.0% |
21 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.29 | 79 | 25% |
All time · 4h