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@100trillionUSD · All models are wrong, some are useful. DYOR! 👉 https://t.co/4UQOQ8eRA3
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 12 more calls to rank
Scored calls
3
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
1 correct / 1 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.27%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-0.8%
Equal stake on all 3 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.99%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (52) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 33.3% | 48 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −4.3% | 62 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.99% | 72 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
1 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Last time you’ll see Bitcoin under $100k? Look at the October column. Uptober is loading.🎃📈 https://t.co/ltCDf9TaXD”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 40.0% |
14 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.17 | 52 | 25% |
30 days · stated