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@100trillionUSD · All models are wrong, some are useful. DYOR! 👉 https://t.co/4UQOQ8eRA3
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 1 more calls to rank
Scored calls
14
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
2 correct / 4 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg return / call
-1.93%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-27.0%
Equal stake on all 14 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-2.09%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (22) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 14% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 31.9% | 9 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −40.0% | 64 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -2.09% | 18 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 40.7% |
27 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.36 | 6 | 25% |
All time · stated