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@APompliano ·
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 3 more calls to rank
Scored calls
12
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
57.1%
4 correct / 3 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.07%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.8%
Equal stake on all 12 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.04%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (48) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 58.2% | 70 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −1.7% | 70 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.04% | 42 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
24 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The world is betting against me, but today we begin the impossible comeback… $BRR https://t.co/NzToiKAufl”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 33.3% |
18 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.08 | 39 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“Bitcoin’s price has fallen, but adoption continues to grow. Eventually price reflects reality and the unemotional are rewarded. https://t.co/OwVHvGNkEZ”
“Bitcoin will go back up when there are more buyers than sellers. American open-source AI models are the future. I explained both to @Varneyco this morning. https://t.co/944YrkXIc5”
“It is going to be glorious when all the profits from AI investing rotate back into bitcoin and gold.”
“The bitcoin bear market has presented a great opportunity for long term investors to acquire more bitcoin. Don’t be fooled by the headlines. I joined @SquawkCNBC to explain. https://t.co/9FWg3ehSkT”
“Bitcoin is like a dog with fleas right now, but that is exactly why people should be interested. You want to buy things when they are out of favor. If the government keeps printing money, bitcoin will always go higher over time. I explained on @SquawkCNBC this morning. https://t.co/2EdSqSexF2”
“If the dollar is debased, assets will inflate. If assets are inflated, savers will fall behind. If savers fall behind, socialism will rise. If socialism rises, the government will default. If the government defaults, you better hope you are holding gold and bitcoin.”
“The government’s CPI measurement just came in at 3.8% This has been largely driven by higher energy prices, but the most important question is whether these increased levels will be sustainable or not? There are structural deflationary forces swallowing the US economy from tariffs, deportations, artificial intelligence, and robotics. These are offsetting some, but not all, of the impact from higher energy prices. If energy prices have found a new equilibrium at these higher levels, inflation will be persistent. But if energy prices are higher only temporarily, then I would expect inflation to come back down quickly. Regardless of the government’s number, one thing is clear for investors: owning scarce, hard assets will be a winning strategy. Bitcoin, gold, real estate, and various other commodities. I used to joke about the “Crazy Uncle” portfolio of gold, guns, land, and bitcoin. I don’t think that will be a bad strategy going forward though.”
“@darrenrovell Bitcoin is still going to the moon, Darren 😂❤️”