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@APompliano ·
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 3 more calls to rank
Scored calls
12
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
57.1%
4 correct / 3 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.98%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+11.7%
Equal stake on all 12 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.82%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (63) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 53.5% | 52 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.0% | 73 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.82% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Trump announced yesterday that he is going to give out $5,000 stimulus checks. The more money he hands out, the higher bitcoin, gold, and land will go.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 33.3% |
18 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.35 | 82 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“The Treasury just reminded everyone that the money printer will never turn off. Bitcoin responded aggressively and is now at $80,000 per coin. Bitcoin has no top because the dollar has no bottom. https://t.co/WrdSvVD9v7”
“It is going to be glorious when all the profits from AI investing rotate back into bitcoin and gold.”