@APompliano ·
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 4 more calls to rank
Scored calls
11
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
71.4%
5 correct / 2 incorrect · 4 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-0.45%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-5.0%
Equal stake on all 11 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.03%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (44) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 78.9% | 82 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −43.8% | 67 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.03% | 30 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
1 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“This is the number one reason why Bitcoin is eventually going to $1 million…”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 34.8% |
21 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.00 | 27 | 25% |
All time · 30d