@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 12 more calls to rank
Scored calls
3
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
1 correct / 1 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.08%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.2%
Equal stake on all 3 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
-0.13%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (27) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 36.5% | 38 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.6% | 23 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.13% | 15 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 1h
5 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“War with Iran Equities melting down AI run over Macro dying Geopolitics unstable worldwide Europe burning ...BTC to all time high now, let's go”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 42.9% |
54 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.33 | 15 | 25% |
“$BTC 200 ema on the 4h a great local bottom...let's hope this continues https://t.co/dadR0qsGs7”
“Bitcoin: Alright good wicks this is healthy. want to see a few more of these if this is any convincing short term bottom (not saying it is quite yet) https://t.co/4AX4ODSIFC https://t.co/gUS8iP1MpQ”
“$BTC: For any sort of bottom you want to see wicks and lots of them. Quick V shaped reversals are more in strong trending bull markets and I don't think we are quite there yet. Another big test of 81k is here and there's still a lot of volatility to come around this area https://t.co/AeCbkOJsDC”
“@strazbejana prob happens if btc legs down”