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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 8 more calls to rank
Scored calls
7
3 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
1 correct / 2 incorrect · 4 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+0.17%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+1.2%
Equal stake on all 7 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
+0.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (33) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 14% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 36.0% | 11 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −15.0% | 11 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.25% | 32 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 30d
12 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“War with Iran Equities melting down AI run over Macro dying Geopolitics unstable worldwide Europe burning ...BTC to all time high now, let's go”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 57.1% |
89 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.02 | 32 | 25% |
“$BTC 200 ema on the 4h a great local bottom...let's hope this continues https://t.co/dadR0qsGs7”
“Bitcoin: Alright good wicks this is healthy. want to see a few more of these if this is any convincing short term bottom (not saying it is quite yet) https://t.co/4AX4ODSIFC https://t.co/gUS8iP1MpQ”
“$BTC: For any sort of bottom you want to see wicks and lots of them. Quick V shaped reversals are more in strong trending bull markets and I don't think we are quite there yet. Another big test of 81k is here and there's still a lot of volatility to come around this area https://t.co/AeCbkOJsDC”
“@strazbejana prob happens if btc legs down”
“$BTC we've been ranging for the last month at this point and still haven't seen a clean break of this 83k level. I expect things to be a bit choppy in the short term w. some potential war escalation (personally don't think it's real but idk). Regardless, dips are for buying imo https://t.co/blDkYCoocH”
“kind of feels like a small pullback is coming....hope I'm wrong. personally not opening any fresh positions at this current area but I really want to see a breakout for both btc/eth respectively. still going to hold my spot positions”
“BTC should still be ok given this region. support is still here, I think it's pretty good R:R to long this 76k area https://t.co/lTxJP0vVJU”
“Bitcoin: This area is last line of defense imo, lose this level and it's 'lights out' (just down to low 70ks or 60ks) https://t.co/uAa2jd3Mvk”
“$BTC do or die level here for bitcoin, lose this and we go to 72k maybe. https://t.co/PbEVYECnLb”
“$BTC this area is still a support region, I assume we keep bouncing until shown otherwise. Lots of volatility expected the next few days though so size down IMO https://t.co/f6klieIlwA”
“Bitcoin looks STRONG man... https://t.co/kMl1OQBj5s”