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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
63
Top 38% · #2 of 4 ranked
Scored calls
25
3 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
6 correct / 6 incorrect · 13 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.35%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+8.8%
Equal stake on all 25 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+0.21%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (79) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.6% | 88 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −24.9% | 8 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.21% | 92 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
42 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“War with Iran Equities melting down AI run over Macro dying Geopolitics unstable worldwide Europe burning ...BTC to all time high now, let's go”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
92 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.04 | 92 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“$BTC 200 ema on the 4h a great local bottom...let's hope this continues https://t.co/dadR0qsGs7”
“Bitcoin: Alright good wicks this is healthy. want to see a few more of these if this is any convincing short term bottom (not saying it is quite yet) https://t.co/4AX4ODSIFC https://t.co/gUS8iP1MpQ”
“$BTC: For any sort of bottom you want to see wicks and lots of them. Quick V shaped reversals are more in strong trending bull markets and I don't think we are quite there yet. Another big test of 81k is here and there's still a lot of volatility to come around this area https://t.co/AeCbkOJsDC”
“@strazbejana prob happens if btc legs down”
“$BTC looks fine for now, wouldn't be surprised to see another wick down to that green box again though. Dips are still for buying but there's intense volatility in the short term. These times are great for making (or losing) $$ https://t.co/ExCf8DX5Ea https://t.co/MlLFRkspel”
“$BTC I think this revisits 81-80k at a minimum and we see some sort of bounce around there. To be determined if we can just continue past 90k but if we lose that 80k region, we go to mid/low 70ks and alts go another 20-40% from current areas imo. https://t.co/BokCiEiyeU”
“kind of insane to see a lot of these coins just erase the majority of those -20% dips. everything dependent on bitcoin in the short term but the altcoin bounces are solid the last 2 days. i still kind of think we revisit 80-81k again in the short term though”
“IF you believe that btc is cooked and we are done for a while, you're going to want to be selling your shitcoins over the next 1-2 days on this bounce no judgment and I think it's certainly a possibility. Its all btc dependent https://t.co/jUtA4PY8gv”
“we're hurting now but think of how rekt we're going to be if bitcoin legs down to 75k in 1 go...”
“Bitcoin: Back to 60k we go https://t.co/odPB2PtMdY”
“$BTC Still a theoretically very solid place to long if you have the balls but this is definitely a scary situation. Lose this and we go to 80k imo https://t.co/FgvASqkLkC”
“BAD morning, btc looking sketchy af. Stay safe out there guys”
“i'm excited for a green day tomorrow and everyone saying 'we're so back' and getting giga long and then bitcoin pulling the rug out and slicing to 80k, liquidating all of us in 1 go”
“$BTC I think that we see a bounce soon around this range low at 83k but if we lose that, there's going to be some violent moves down to 80k and lower imo. high volume node in the 78k area but we're still a bit far from that contextually speaking. Still doesn't look great though https://t.co/DvPUF9hdP0”