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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 6 more calls to rank
Scored calls
9
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
55.6%
5 correct / 4 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.17%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+1.5%
Equal stake on all 9 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
+0.01%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (47) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 22% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.0% | 12 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.6% | 82 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.01% | 35 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 1h
16 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH we're still ok imo; still in the same trading range that we've been at for almost 2 months. If BTC truly breaks down to the low 70ks then I think ETH breaks below the range low. Until then, assume we're still fine https://t.co/y5fOwh7XrB”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 71.4% |
71 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.03 | 53 | 25% |