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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
11
Top 89% · #20 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
367
1 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
48.9%
172 correct / 180 incorrect · 15 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.04%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-15.4%
Equal stake on all 367 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.04%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (28) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 27 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −30.0% | 15 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.04% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
705 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC 67k still the level to break, honestly still expecting a lot of choppy price action though https://t.co/vxl6x051wR”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.04 | 15 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“$ETH I think this is going to go to like 2.4k if btc is stable https://t.co/rjuI0fJ8sE”
“SOL coins / eco will look good as long as Btc is strong imo”
“Spot plays rn: First, what are some of the difference between spot and perps trades? The best traders have no difference because they use leverage appropriately but most retail traders have poor execution problems with perps (myself included). it could be sizing too large, cutting the trade too quickly (or holding on too long), and being too indecisive or not thought out. For me, perps are better used for intraday or faster trades in general, while spot trades are better for sitting on a position for days on end (or much more). Spot trades are slower, they aren't going to move immediately, and they require patience. 1 advantage to buying spot for many trades is that the trade idea is well thought out and you also generally get a pretty good entry because it's a buy before the actual big move happens. But you are going to be tempted to chase momentum when different coins move. You need to be pretty confident your coin isn't going to nuke to $0, so coins that have insanely high volatility in the current time are probably not as good spot trades IMO. Ofc you can trade fully with spot for any long any way, nothing wrong with that. It's not as capital efficient but helps against misexecution. Some trades I'm eyeing right now that are a bit slower ones but the charts still look great (IMO): $NEAR: I think this coin is just going to keep chopping around but I think that it's eventually going to have a decent move. It's 1 of the best looking charts in crypto right now IMO. $HYPE: This is also a slow mover, has chopped in this range for the last 2 months or so. I like this time based consolidation and it will take a bit more time before the move to $100 IMO. $XPL: Obviously this 1 got totally decimated but it's down 95% but still has a great team, relevant product, and a narrative that is 1 of the best in crypto. This type of trade could take weeks on end but you almost certainly make a few x from current prices.”
“$PENGU is the ultimate slow cook type of trade imo. You shouldn't buy it now hoping for an immediate 3x next week; it's going to take a bit. But it's overall bottomed IMO. Already down 85% from the highs and this should eventually do well when SOL coins come back + risk on also is a thing. I have a bag that I'm just sitting on and will be in this one for a while.”
“$BTC decent compression here and flipped the 200 EMA (4h) for now; would really like to see some sort of breakout though with volume. I think we can go to like 70k if tradfi is stable https://t.co/Xrz4lOXFhv”
“Bitcoin time based capitulation is probably almost finished IMO https://t.co/NrEhsvdkFz”
“$ETH still looks pretty good imo, as long as btc is stable I think this continues higher https://t.co/QNhv5BfVbw”
“$MU I think you can pretty much full port around $650-$700 if it comes https://t.co/vjt6PGgosU”
“Under the radar Longs on my list: $ONDO $LDO ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb $VIRTUAL (not that under radar) Short coins list: Most solana coins $JTO $MET $PUMP $SYN (will still have insane 30% bounces tho so hard to play, i think it goes to 0.12 or something eventually) Regular decent coins: $LIT $HYPE $ZEC $AERO”
“Under the radar Longs on my list: $ONDO $LDO ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb $VIRTUAL (not that under radar) Short coins list: Most solana coins $JTO $MET $PUMP $SYN (will still have insane 30% bounces tho so hard to play, i think it goes to 0.12 or something eventually) Regular decent coins: $LIT $HYPE $ZEC $AERO”
“Under the radar Longs on my list: $ONDO $LDO ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb $VIRTUAL (not that under radar) Short coins list: Most solana coins $JTO $MET $PUMP $SYN (will still have insane 30% bounces tho so hard to play, i think it goes to 0.12 or something eventually) Regular decent coins: $LIT $HYPE $ZEC $AERO”
“PvE is a meme until bitcoin goes to over 120k+ imo”
“$LIT aiming for around $2, it's been a long wait for it but I think it should be a decent area for a bounce. $1.85ish would be the next area up after that https://t.co/5eppQLq6nJ”
“$ETH: S/R flip around $1800 would be lovely but btc still a bit unstable. Certainly a bounce before $1700 imo https://t.co/HDPlElUvWW”