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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
39
Top 61% · #6 of 9 ranked
Scored calls
66
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
19 correct / 19 incorrect · 28 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.11%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-7.4%
Equal stake on all 66 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.00%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (43) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 14% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.3% | 81 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −21.3% | 4 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.00% | 15 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
19 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$SOL I think this bottoms soon around $95. Obviously going to go as bitcoin goes but I think we see a bounce in that area. Still a coin I'm eyeing over the next month or so https://t.co/misMJFBdAP”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
96 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.00 | 31 | 25% |
30 days · 1h
“$ETH we're still ok imo; still in the same trading range that we've been at for almost 2 months. If BTC truly breaks down to the low 70ks then I think ETH breaks below the range low. Until then, assume we're still fine https://t.co/y5fOwh7XrB”
“@strazbejana prob happens if btc legs down”
“$BTC looks fine for now, wouldn't be surprised to see another wick down to that green box again though. Dips are still for buying but there's intense volatility in the short term. These times are great for making (or losing) $$ https://t.co/ExCf8DX5Ea https://t.co/MlLFRkspel”
“$BTC I think this revisits 81-80k at a minimum and we see some sort of bounce around there. To be determined if we can just continue past 90k but if we lose that 80k region, we go to mid/low 70ks and alts go another 20-40% from current areas imo. https://t.co/BokCiEiyeU”
“Dips to potentially buy / areas I'm watching: $VVV maybe $22 region? I still think this looks ok but expect more grinding down in the short term https://t.co/7zzBXkBLXl”
“$BTC I think that we see a bounce soon around this range low at 83k but if we lose that, there's going to be some violent moves down to 80k and lower imo. high volume node in the 78k area but we're still a bit far from that contextually speaking. Still doesn't look great though https://t.co/DvPUF9hdP0”
“$BTC Eh I dont really trust this slow grinding price action. I think we're going to see some weird wick to like 83k again soon. I hope I'm wrong https://t.co/iyud3Z1108”
“I'm still long ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 and it's held up very well the last 12 hours. Going to continue holding and it's been very strong lately https://t.co/PI6sPr7bzl”
“I'm still long ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 and it's held up very well the last 12 hours. Going to continue holding and it's been very strong lately https://t.co/PI6sPr7bzl”
“$ZAMA had a great run but is pulling back a bit now. I'm still extremely bullish on the project and it has a lot of great narratives such as privacy + defi. I think that it's going to pullback to the green area and I would love to see it consolidate for a week or 2 for the next run”
“@BriskcapitalXBT also my target area but i think you need to see btc breakdown a bit further for this to happen”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv small bag right now but I need more time to reload, this still looks pretty solid to me. Want to DCA more in this region personally https://t.co/3BnGGAl2gg”
“Bitcoin: eh another revisit to mid 82ks and I'm not going to be happy. Still think a lot of alts retrace further https://t.co/xbT7E9NP53”
“@krugman87 a lot of the big news probably priced in + a lot of its moat may be in jeopardy with KYC needed for perps (hype too) + once this thing unlocks in a few months its likely down only (though i thought that for pump too kek)”