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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
48
Top 52% · #12 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
367
1 pending · 47 unresolved
Hit rate
51.3%
184 correct / 175 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.04%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+14.5%
Equal stake on all 367 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.01%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (46) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 51.3% | 48 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −68.9% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.01% | 39 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
706 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC surprisingly strong still on this bounce and I'm hoping that was the local bottom. Still unsure personally but I'm going to take the wins as much as I can. I think this market has already shown its hand, though- if btc is stable, expect decent moves from altcoins and for that to continue imo”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.00 | 42 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“Alright $USELESS bros, I finally bought a small bag...let's hope # goes up (though I hate trading this one since it spikes up and down violently)”
“sometimes these coins are simply stablecoins disguised as shitcoins: $ASTER $CC https://t.co/ME3zws7B7U”
“memes have greatly underperformed the recent run from zec/hype and have gotten decimated over the last year. $FARTCOIN can go almost 3x from current prices and barely get to its January 2026 highs. If these things even remotely have some $ come in, they should go a few x quickly...but you will need several things to happen before then. Namely: super strong btc environment + more outside money coming as well.”
“$LIT I had naked bids for this one around the .618 fib which would have been an amazing entry but I pulled them due to being pretty afk today. This is 1 of my favorite setups though so too bad. Let's see what btc has in store for us; expecting a pullback near the 1.5 highs https://t.co/e9HEyh1mud https://t.co/BN1XYTTxjq”
“$LIT I had naked bids for this one around the .618 fib which would have been an amazing entry but I pulled them due to being pretty afk today. This is 1 of my favorite setups though so too bad. Let's see what btc has in store for us; expecting a pullback near the 1.5 highs https://t.co/e9HEyh1mud https://t.co/BN1XYTTxjq”
“$BTC you can pretty much assume that there are going to be bounces at all of these levels on the way down. To be determined if any of these levels actually hold, though- the price action going up was a slow grinding stairs up and this usually ends badly. With that said, there are some other catalysts that might save us. Iran war ending could be strong if it's true. BTC has also been in this trading range for several months now and imo relatively bottomed. Still looking for that God candle...”
“$USELESS still looks pretty strong on lower time frames and if you zoom out, this thing chopped around for a few months and has already gone 2x from the lows. If you believe that memes will one day come back, I think that there's a chance that useless would be in one of those top 5 runners in the meme category. Still, this one is very hard to trade on low time frames and there is a lot of crazy wicks in both directions. Would probably recommend just buying some spot and holding for a bit as more of a longer term view.”
“$XPL trading right near all time lows...man I hope this one recovers a bit eventually. Still has 1 of the best narratives for this cycle but so far there hasn't been any real moves for it. Unfortunately the cabal coin STABLE has moved much better https://t.co/Q27W4RVzbG”
“Eh $BTC looking a bit iffy...still some nice moves but it's probably better to be cautious in the short term trading IMO. 200W EMA is still the area that I'm watching near 69k. I think more chop for the next few weeks with a move later this year. https://t.co/Kfn9xufkkS”
“Currently just in some spot tokens and watching, not actively trading a whole bunch right now since I'm traveling for the next 2 weeks still. Good market conditions with different coins moving and rotating and I love to see it. Still expect us to do pretty well as long as bitcoin plays nice and stays stable. This goes without saying but if btc goes to the lower 70ks then I think everything takes a dive. Still would be taking some profits though especially with some coins like VVV and HYPE which are at the local highs. But there are definitely still a lot of interesting trading ideas out there for now.”
“$LIT There are always going to be times when beta overtakes the leader for short durations. Lighter has a pretty good case imo; it makes a ton of $, is the clear #2 perp dex (sometimes it can be hard to distinguish #2 beta), and has a great team. Hype will continue being the leader for a long long time imo but that doesn't mean that LIT can't also grow. The 1 scary thing is if hyperliquid starts to pull back, what happens then? Typically beta dies faster than the leader. With that said, I still think there's a chance for a catch up trade here. Don't have a bag but just watching.”
“$PENGU: Memes have greatly underperformed overall but I think that their time is eventually going to come. 200d EMA was a normal stopping point for PENGU but price has looked the healthiest it has in 9 months IMO...I think that this one reverses eventually (I have a bag) https://t.co/Mo0QQUTGXY”
“kind of funny that we're all euphoric right now but it's going to be really sad if btc ruins the fun and grinds down to the lower 70ks...hope it doesn't happen”
“might finally be time for the perp dex beta to catch up. $LIT and the others have been awful the last several weeks but maybe now is their time to (briefly) catch up to Hyperliquid a bit? Don't expect this to continue for long but let's see. $AVNT $LIT https://t.co/JVQYO50xU4”