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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
28
Top 72% · #7 of 9 ranked
Scored calls
67
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
40.6%
13 correct / 19 incorrect · 35 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.55%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-36.8%
Equal stake on all 67 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.12%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (38) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 13% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 44.7% | 46 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −51.1% | 0 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.12% | 12 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
110 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$USELESS I think that the 0.20 area is going to ultimately be the low for it but this will go back to ATH eventually IMO. Still seems to be the leader for sol memes the last few weeks. nice bounce today and I still have a small bag of it https://t.co/GdzkpNgDhz”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
98 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.06 | 46 | 25% |
30 days · 4h
“$NEAR I think is mostly dependent on bitcoin (as everything else is). Break to the upside and this was the low If we break below 83k though then NEAR probably goes to $4 or lower No position now but currently watching very closely https://t.co/0wBpICSvVS”
“$PUMP clear breakout, amazing coin right now in the short term https://t.co/Yomt9SEEjj https://t.co/coboIPVtcf”
“Bitcoin: eh another revisit to mid 82ks and I'm not going to be happy. Still think a lot of alts retrace further https://t.co/xbT7E9NP53”
“@krugman87 a lot of the big news probably priced in + a lot of its moat may be in jeopardy with KYC needed for perps (hype too) + once this thing unlocks in a few months its likely down only (though i thought that for pump too kek)”
“$PUMP still looking very strong last few days, this is a key area. I always thought that pump was a key indicator for how the rest of the market would do given it led previously and also pulled back / consolidated. if it has a strong second leg here, I think that's very fruitful for everything else”
“$USELESS I'm still in an underwater position on this but will keep watching; might trim some on the next bounce. If bitcoin continues to grind down or loses this level, I think the 0.195 and 0.16 areas are interesting to me. https://t.co/VPpYVq8QXb”
“Current area is still support for $BTC imo, I think we're fine for now. Lose this and it starts to get ugly imo https://t.co/W6NH2RXtOw”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv: Opened a starter position on this one, I'm buying the breakout. It's chopped at this current area for days now + has all the 1d EMAs flipped. I think this is a bit of a slower trade but one that's interesting to me. Already had a small bag I'm holding from before but bought more here”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv: Opened a starter position on this one, I'm buying the breakout. It's chopped at this current area for days now + has all the 1d EMAs flipped. I think this is a bit of a slower trade but one that's interesting to me. Already had a small bag I'm holding from before but bought more here”
“$BTC this price action aint great on lower time frames... https://t.co/LLyOSBfTtc”
“This is probably highly counter to the market but I feel like a deeper pullback is coming for a lot of these altcoins. many went basically 2x+ and the leaders much more. not saying it's over or anything but I wouldn't be surprised to see some sort of 1 week+ pullback for many of the leaders. something like $NEAR in 2023 in the yellow box. obviously it's going to be mostly dependent on bitcoin. if btc bursts through past 90k then this idea is probably invalid. but just a gut feeling on my end. there's just a lot of random beta flying around still + charts look overextended”
“The lazy investor portfolio where you buy and walk away and come back to it being up 3x+ Majors (ETH SOL XRP) ENA ZEC HYPE / LIT VVV NEAR”
“The lazy investor portfolio where you buy and walk away and come back to it being up 3x+ Majors (ETH SOL XRP) ENA ZEC HYPE / LIT VVV NEAR”
“$LIT still is 1 of the better fundamental coins you can buy right now but the unlocks are coming in a few months and tbd what happens after that. still, I think that it has another push higher before that time. Guessing it'll chop around for a bit here though https://t.co/Dj0GIdWehI”