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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
48
Top 52% · #12 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
358
10 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
48.7%
173 correct / 182 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
+0.64%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
+229.6%
Equal stake on all 358 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.37%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (60) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.2% | 55 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −336.0% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.37% | 76 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
705 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$SYN: The only way old projects can have super strong runs is usually 1 of 2 ways: a total rebrand /pivot to a new relevant narrative (AI is common) OR total cabal/crime pump (where all supply is collected and then pumped). SYN went from being a x-chain infra project to HyperLiquid options Sometimes these things can really move hard but the majority of the time they are just weird exit pumps overall. SYN still probably could be a decent buy the dip but in general, this team has had some weird situations in the past if I recall correctly. But kudos to them for pivoting”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.03 | 58 | 25% |
All time · 7d
“$PENGU I realize that memes in general are totally dead and that those types of risk on assets aren't going to be coming back until the overall market gets better. With that said, I think that many of these have a few x in them at a minimum when that does happen. Now, you can say the same thing about any beaten down coin- but memes always have stronger energy in the right environment vs. something dead like TIA. The only concern is mostly time...it could take a while before these things really strongly move. But I do think that coins like PENGU are good options when solana shitcoins come back. I have a bag.”
“@ThePumponomics hope you're wrong too...but I agree with you”
“Memes still present some of the best R:R trades right now IMO. The only issue is the time factor, where these types of buys can take weeks or even months before the materialize. Coins like $FARTCOIN can easily go a few x from here and it wont take much to move that market. https://t.co/DPId3mEYz7”
“$BTC These wicks are still holding...wicks are good. they're necessary when forming a bottom https://t.co/gN3RnShqav”
“$SOL If you are DCAing in this area then it probably makes money with a long enough time horizon, likely 6 months+. But if you're looking for this as an active trade, hard to really say with bitcoin at its current level. Solana has still been an extremely strong major though and it's shown a ton of relative strength. I'm personally not going to fire until we see it move a bit higher but will keep watching for now.”
“Don't think I'm going to open any fresh positions right now on the active side. I own some spot positions I'm not touching but I have an active trade in $GRASS and that's it. Still watching the low time frames for BTC but I still think this area is support until shown otherwise. My list is also still the same: AAVE, LIT, XPL, GRASS, DYDX, JUP, coins like that. I think it could be decent to buy some of those strong relative strength altcoins but I also recognize that the overall volatility on the entire market is still very high on lower time frames. I need to either just buy spot (like I did with GRASS) or really size down on perps so I don't have bad execution (highly likely given the market conditions). Pair trading is also attractive and my coins to short are also the same: WLD, W, VVV (bit less sure of this one) and others. All in all, I'm still cautiously bullish in this area on lower time frames but I also know that Saylor is a gigantic question mark in this market and the overall uncertainty is killing any momentum we might have. TA wise, this still seems like a logical area for support but I think there are still a lot of unknowns. I think you can really do anything you want right now: the scalping conditions are pretty good bc of the volatility. Long term buys also are probably pretty reasonable down in this area from the 60-45k region for Bitcoin (altcoins, too hard to really say). All in all, the most important thing is that you are fluid and you are able to buy or sell quickly if something changes. This is a critical region around 58-60k and if we lose this level, we're probably headed to 54k quickly.”
“$LIT is a clear outperformer lately and it's one of the best 'fundamental' coins on the market (given it actually has revenue). It still trades like shit on the lower time frames and it's still a coin that you should probably just own some spot for...and yes, its probably going to still underperform hype on all time frames but right now, it still is decent no position on it for me personally but I am considering throwing some $ in spot on this one”
“$BTC still no daily close below this wick region, we are still good for now. Support is support until its not and this still remains a decent area to buy IMO. Still scared abut Saylor though and I'm expecting things to still be v. volatile in this area https://t.co/aEcHzrgB0P”
“goes without saying if btc loses this current 58k region then we'll prob see some violence everywhere. nothing is safe but you can maybe place some stink bids in hope they hit.”
“$BTC I guess next level up is like 54k?? https://t.co/bU6jIjGSu5”
“ughhh please do not lose this level bitcoin... https://t.co/bnUAKUiWjL”
“prob a retard move but I bought some $SPCX small, will cut under the lows at 145 tho”
“$VVV I was pretty bearish on this one and I still am from a chart/flow perspective but the overall pmf is undeniable and it definitely has its place in a narrative standpoint for decentralization + AI. I thought (and still think) that $9-$11 would be reasonable but this will continue to spike up as long as these big AI companies keep pushing KYC. Overall broader market still sucks too so there's that, but will keep watching”
“$BTC I still have this same exact view...we need wicks to form a real bottom. The good thing is that we are now testing this current area often and we are giving buyers a chance to step in, but we also have a crazed overleveraged maniac with Saylor...so hard to say Wicks=Bottom https://t.co/MGKiasFaBR https://t.co/q5LuUJsrPj”