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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
64
Top 36% · #7 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
217
8 pending · 10 unresolved
Hit rate
46.8%
101 correct / 115 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
+1.76%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+382.1%
Equal stake on all 217 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.60%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (67) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 13% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 45.8% | 69 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −244.2% | 6 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.60% | 78 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
384 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“bitcoin:native some really insane volatility on the lower time frames here with some macro developments. I'm still long pump and several other shitcoins though and still am bullish in the mid term. This is all just noise and we're still fine as long as we're above 76k https://t.co/c5mUlmbJyi”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.05 | 75 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“$PUMP nice move so far, going to target a bit higher https://t.co/z2Xmsl81PZ https://t.co/y1FBx7WMvV”
“solana:Dz9mQ9NzkBcCsuGPFJ3r1bS4wgqKMHBPiVuniW8Mbonk went 10x over the course of a month on centralized exchanges with perps/decent liquidity/etc. Insane ripper. ATH soon it seems... https://t.co/0DS3eYMteQ”
“solana:Dz9mQ9NzkBcCsuGPFJ3r1bS4wgqKMHBPiVuniW8Mbonk went 10x over the course of a month on centralized exchanges with perps/decent liquidity/etc. Insane ripper. ATH soon it seems... https://t.co/0DS3eYMteQ”
“$PUMP longed a bit of pump here, its held below this 0.45 region for a little while. As long as btc is stable I think this legs up https://t.co/gVDCz3HMsA”
“$VVV 1 of the best coins / charts right now and is the clear leader in the crypto x AI sector. It's taken that mantle from TAO and should continue. Expecting to see some sort of slight pullback near the highs but overall, still expect it to break that level eventually https://t.co/pY3VPwiNcy https://t.co/SVSm4YLOE6”
“Good first bounce here but I think the more interesting levels are 76k personally. but I think we should see a bounce soon”
“@WClemente interesting stuff thanks for sharing”
“bitcoin:native unfortunately at this point it does look like we're headed to this range low at a minimum and possibly lower below 70k. There's still support at the low though around $76k but this is still lame to see. Was hoping we'd get a strong break past 83k with strength. All in all, slow choppy grindy market where there should still be some good plays here and there but overall, nothing trending super hard right now”
“Current active positions update: $MARSCOIN: Down 50% over just 3 days, roundtripped the majority of profits. Disappointing result; I thought that binance listing spot would be decent since this is their first in a while, but rotations are super aggressive. Will keep watching but I'm not afraid to sell 'the bottom'. I can always buy back higher later on Perps + Spot: ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753: Decent catalysts coming up with Anthropic IPO news + OpenAI to follow, token inflation being worked on, etc. This one generally trades like shit but I think it can still have a decent 20-50% move personally. ----------- Have a few other spot positions like BTC/HYPE/Fartcoin but honestly thinking about selling some of those and going to some Robinhood bags + ZEC. Really like the AI chart a lot.”
“Current active positions update: $MARSCOIN: Down 50% over just 3 days, roundtripped the majority of profits. Disappointing result; I thought that binance listing spot would be decent since this is their first in a while, but rotations are super aggressive. Will keep watching but I'm not afraid to sell 'the bottom'. I can always buy back higher later on Perps + Spot: ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753: Decent catalysts coming up with Anthropic IPO news + OpenAI to follow, token inflation being worked on, etc. This one generally trades like shit but I think it can still have a decent 20-50% move personally. ----------- Have a few other spot positions like BTC/HYPE/Fartcoin but honestly thinking about selling some of those and going to some Robinhood bags + ZEC. Really like the AI chart a lot.”
“$AI I've been watching this one for days and days and never bought it. Huge misexecution on my end, I think it's a really solid looking chart. Might just buy a bag to hold as a starter position https://t.co/FptPqxQmQE https://t.co/N6GGg1sWb5”
“mid low 400s would be a great entry for $PONS imo https://t.co/pjru3pCpYA”
“$PUMP I'm long since the open last night. Unsure if this is going to just keep going higher but will take some off at 0.05 ish I think. Still a decent one https://t.co/9NEeupPnH5”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv I still think this is a really decent coin to buy and hold for a while. I think that it's suffering a bit because SOL has less attention than RH overall but zoom out on this chart and you can see the potential. Still bullish on the pudgy team adding more value and catching up w. current meta in some way/shape/form. They're 1 of the best communities in crypto and I have a bag.”