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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
55
Top 45% · #5 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
77
10 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
46.3%
19 correct / 22 incorrect · 36 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.84%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+64.4%
Equal stake on all 77 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.66%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (53) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 12% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.1% | 69 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −244.2% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.66% | 14 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
131 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$PUMP this is a pretty interesting spot that should provide as a bounce area. 4h 200 ema + high volume node + S/R region https://t.co/C8somdNzp1”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.05 | 83 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“$PENGU is a slow cook and it's still 1 of my longer term holds. It's a coin that's usually better in risk on conditions but the overall chart looks fantastic- all the 1d EMAs are tightening and it's been in this trading range for ~9 months now. not a great active trade but 1 where you can just buy it and hold it and watch it go a few x from here when conditions are better”
“@strazbejana prob happens if btc legs down”
“$BTC looks fine for now, wouldn't be surprised to see another wick down to that green box again though. Dips are still for buying but there's intense volatility in the short term. These times are great for making (or losing) $$ https://t.co/ExCf8DX5Ea https://t.co/MlLFRkspel”
“things are going to get extremely nasty if we lose these recent lows here...(sadly kind of looks like it is going to happen eventually) $ENA $WLD $PUMP https://t.co/sQZl6LrDfW”
“$BAT is 1 of the few coins I think you can consider buying the dip on; relative strength has been strong. Good one to pair trade with a short IMO. https://t.co/M5IdrCLEau”
“$BTC I think this revisits 81-80k at a minimum and we see some sort of bounce around there. To be determined if we can just continue past 90k but if we lose that 80k region, we go to mid/low 70ks and alts go another 20-40% from current areas imo. https://t.co/BokCiEiyeU”
“Incredible bounce for many of these altcoins but I think that this is a pullback area for the majority. $NEAR and $GRASS had some gigantic moves https://t.co/Lp0RKU41hW”
“kind of insane to see a lot of these coins just erase the majority of those -20% dips. everything dependent on bitcoin in the short term but the altcoin bounces are solid the last 2 days. i still kind of think we revisit 80-81k again in the short term though”
“IF you believe that btc is cooked and we are done for a while, you're going to want to be selling your shitcoins over the next 1-2 days on this bounce no judgment and I think it's certainly a possibility. Its all btc dependent https://t.co/jUtA4PY8gv”
“we're hurting now but think of how rekt we're going to be if bitcoin legs down to 75k in 1 go...”
“Bitcoin: Back to 60k we go https://t.co/odPB2PtMdY”
“$BTC Still a theoretically very solid place to long if you have the balls but this is definitely a scary situation. Lose this and we go to 80k imo https://t.co/FgvASqkLkC”
“BAD morning, btc looking sketchy af. Stay safe out there guys”
“Solana ecosystem doing well the last day, most certainly some news coming. Tbd if it has any followup the next few days and may even be short candidates later. Wouldn't do so right now though”