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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
58
Top 42% · #8 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
217
9 pending · 10 unresolved
Hit rate
46.8%
101 correct / 115 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
+1.76%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+382.1%
Equal stake on all 217 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.60%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (68) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 13% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 45.8% | 69 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −244.2% | 6 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.60% | 81 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
385 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$DOGE: is this ever going to have a gigantic bid? hard to say. It's still the highest meme by mc and usually these types of coins just become super high liquidity / less volatility options. It's still highly liquid and you can get in / out with size. But there hasn't been much interest in it because it's 'too expensive'. Hard to really say. I think the tough part about this is that there are other options that are cheaper mc wise. ETH season? Buy PEPE. SOL? Buy Fartcoin. And so on. I think DOGE will eventually have another run but it could still take a bit. Wouldn't personally buy here but would rather buy it on the way up myself”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.05 | 75 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“$BTC we haven't seen a strong weekly close above that 66k region in 2 months. Hope this changes https://t.co/ZfWhUngie5”
“$LIT still 1 of the best performing altcoins in this market and should keep grinding to the highs with this price action. Dont see this going down yet https://t.co/nXgpMfJf91”
“$BTC prob some sort of weird spike in the green box but overall still very choppy. Guessing green day tomorrow? https://t.co/aaNHFvo3Z3”
“$PUMP you can probably buy within this range still and expect it to continue on; trend is still up. A bit hard to day trade though and you'll likely get chopped up. Can put a stop below the 0.0265 area IMO but still looks ok for now https://t.co/Qbf3w6pXZ3”
“$BTC a few more weeks / months of this shit and then its up only https://t.co/K8BLy5p7cj”
“$PUMP has had great moves but this is going to be a routine thing to watch moving forward for the next few years I actually don't think the majority of the holders are going to sell at current prices; they're going to wait until more bullish conditions to unload But they're up huge and that supply IS going to come onto the market eventually. Wouldn't surprise me to see more muted pushes to the upside when prices reach certain levels due to this sell pressure. But for now, I still think the majority hold”
“I think that it's simply appreciation vs. bitcoin. 'Coming back' assumes that bitcoin is going to trade higher in the future and if you see 100k btc, there's a good chance most of these will have a temporary run. And yeah, these are all broken dead tokens with no pmf long term but they'll still probably do at least a 2-3x in good conditions if bitcoin starts to send. it always happens and it will happen again (albeit smaller and smaller pumps)”
“if you're looking for any decent project to allocate to for longer terms with solid fundamentals, $VVV and $HYPE are both pulling back decently from their highs. Could they go lower? Absolutely. But I think that both will do pretty well later on. They likely will not outperform total garbage when conditions get better but they have very decent downside protection IMO. And, if you're an investor that needs fundamentals, these two are some of the better ones in crypto period.”
“$PENGU I think had a decent move the last 2 days but I've only got a spot bag that I'm riding right now. Will add a perp leg once this actually gets moving. It's gotten smashed overall and I still think should be a winner when risk on conditions improve https://t.co/7MtDHqi3wj”
“@coinmamba I agree....I think buying at these prices still gives you at least a 2x within the next 1 year or so (for good coins)”
“$PUMP now we continue higher I routinely think I can outsmart the market by buying non trending coins and, lo and behold, they lag behind. Really need to just buy regular trending coins like pump where I mark https://t.co/CEJHlM72V0”
“$MEGA absolutely horrific chart and I don't know what it's going to take to turn this around. It's just another good example of more infrastructure that's fairly underused and underappreciated from a price standpoint in crypto. Until we actually see some meaningful traction on these new chains, these will continue to trade to $0. No real reason to buy this yet IMO, would wait until it shows some life”
“$USELESS trading down now and still just a good reflection of risk on conditions in specific ways. Onchain has largely been very good the last month with some sol/RH shitcoins doing well but the traditional / lindy memes like pepe/fartcoin/doge/useless haven't had much of a bid. These lindy memes will more go when bitcoin goes IMO and we'll see decent appreciation at that point. I think some sort of long consolidation period would be healthy to see for USELESS and there are a few ways to play this...but definitely not a great active trade right now imo”
“$USELESS trading down now and still just a good reflection of risk on conditions in specific ways. Onchain has largely been very good the last month with some sol/RH shitcoins doing well but the traditional / lindy memes like pepe/fartcoin/doge/useless haven't had much of a bid. These lindy memes will more go when bitcoin goes IMO and we'll see decent appreciation at that point. I think some sort of long consolidation period would be healthy to see for USELESS and there are a few ways to play this...but definitely not a great active trade right now imo”