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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
43
Top 57% · #13 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
360
9 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
47.3%
169 correct / 188 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.55%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+198.8%
Equal stake on all 360 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.30%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (58) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 46.9% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −334.5% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.30% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
706 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC Honestly the levels are not super clean/clear to me down in this range and the next interesting area up is around 61k ish. We could certainly form some sort of bounce before then but I'll just view things on the lower time frames. All in all, best to stay defensive rn imo https://t.co/Jmw6Dge9qd”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.02 | 61 | 25% |
All time · stated
“@CryptoFnddTrdr if he dumps everything btc is going to like 30k lol...would be a nightmare to see it (but probably better for everyone)”
“If Saylor dumps a material amount of BTC, we're saying goodbye to the only marginal buyer and the only person keeping this market afloat. Scary thought...”
“Cmon $BTC plz hold this area... https://t.co/jx8iREjya0”
“@CryptoTony__ this one will probably bounce eventually. got murdered earlier though”
“$BTC honestly not looking great on low time frames. Praying this green box holds but there's a good chance this one probably dips back to 60k ish in the coming days... https://t.co/1FxQ8ys7iF”
“Bought half position of $AERO at the lows but didn't get filled on the other half at 0.50 fib...FML Still like this one though and might just add more higher https://t.co/kHcmV01bUe”
“4 months in this range and 8 months since the top for Bitcoin. Probably another 4ish months to go in this chop before it truly bottoms https://t.co/jgmKyXz0My”
“This is the dip I've been looking for. I'm going to target coins like $AERO $WLD $HYPE $JTO and a few others”
“$PENGU this is going according to plan. I think memes are great value down here and Pudgy Penguins are a great brand that hits several angles. I have a bag of it and will be holding until memes have a run https://t.co/F7rQZDQsaf https://t.co/GIOX6PrFPn”
“$USELESS looks great and at an accumulation area. It's interacting with the 200d EMA for the first time really ever and I think it's strong on high time frames. With that said, it's not a quick trade at all. I think you need to basically just do 1 of 2 things: Buy spot and forget about it OR just wait for the first big breakout and then hop on the train then. Don't buy expecting it to moon in 2 days IMO. There are a lot of other factors at play here such as btc strength but overall, I think memes are pretty bottomed.”
“$XPL here is the pop, I'm sidelined Will likely buy a dip though https://t.co/2a9tTNsPNm”
“$AERO really strong moves lately and it seems like a lot of the decent fundamental DeFi coins are moving (this + UNI). probably looking to buy a dip around $0.43 and take one shot at it. https://t.co/vOHzOE4yWK”
“$XPL currently all out of XPL but this is such a bizarre chart. Probably going to have a +20% pop one of these days if it continues this weird grind up. I'm currently all out but watching it carefully here. https://t.co/eLJM3of8jP”
“$FARTCOIN needs to hit a 2x to hit its prices back in May and 3x to hit its prices back from January of this year. This thing got turbo rekt but I think that there's decent value buying down here. I have a bag. https://t.co/PK6LjTyD17”