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Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
79
Top 21% · #3 of 12 ranked
Scored calls
23
35 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
77.8%
14 correct / 4 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+4.52%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+103.9%
Equal stake on all 23 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+1.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (83) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 4% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 72.2% | 76 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −11.5% | 93 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.25% | 83 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
4 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH just closed above $2,600 on daily for the first time in the last 8 months. This is giga bullish for Altcoins. https://t.co/PwvFkJfl1g”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
79 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.08 | 86 | 25% |
30 days · 30d
“My analysis on what happens after FOMC: Warsh is bullish: BTC dumps Warsh is bearish: BTC dumps Warsh says nothing: BTC dumps Keeping my expectations low already.”
“This is not looking good boys. Bitcoin got rejected from the 50W MA. We need to close the weekly candle back above it to confirm $57K was the bottom and the real bull market has started. What's concerning is that the last two times Bitcoin got rejected here, a major crash followed. If $BTC closes below the 50W MA, $75,500 is the next support. If that breaks, the next major level to watch is the 200W MA, currently around $65K.”
“BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO CRASH REALLY HARD. https://t.co/oAjQpjrUMG”