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@CryptoCapo_ · Independent market analyst, trader, and investor. Crypto since Feb 2017. Passionate about what I do. Not financial advice. "Always seek truth"
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 4 more calls to rank
Scored calls
11
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
66.7%
4 correct / 2 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg return / call
+2.34%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+25.7%
Equal stake on all 11 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.09%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (63) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 18% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 66.4% | 79 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −13.3% | 70 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.09% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@1HappyQuokka1 Good question. I think $BTC made the cycle top at 125k (https://t.co/Lm0RRQXrLp) 60k-70k is strong support, so that's why I flipped bullish. But the idea is: this is a complacency phase and not the start of a new bullish cycle. 100k-110k is resistance until proven otherwise.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 29.6% |
9 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.17 | 70 | 25% |
All time · stated
“$ETH / $BTC Chart shared in July on the TG channel. Still looking good. https://t.co/n0BYOwl7hK”
“Not necessarily. It may be evolving. My view is that BTC could be in a broader macro bearish phase, with strong rallies in between (like the one I'm expecting now). But if 2026-2028 remains mostly bearish and real recovery starts around the next halving, I'd see that as a distorted cycle. Kind of like music: you can still have a 4-beat rhythm, but every few bars the structure can shift.”