K A L E O

Low sample

@CryptoKaleo · καλέω: to call This is my journal Co-Founder - @LedgArt_io

Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026

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Window

24H 7D 30D 90D ALL

Horizon

Stated 1H 4H 24H 7D 30D

All assets BTC ETH MEMES SOL

Caller Score

—

Low sample: 7 more calls to rank

Scored calls

0 pending · 1 unresolved

Hit rate

25.0%

1 correct / 3 incorrect · 4 neutral

Avg 1h return / call

-0.42%

Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)

Following every call

-3.4%

Equal stake on all 8 calls resolved in the last 7 days

Mean alpha

-0.39%

Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)

Caller Score breakdown

Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (14) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 13% of these calls stated a timeframe.

Component	Value	Percentile	Weight
Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded)	17.0%	0	20%
Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better)	−3.9%	6	15%
Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period	-0.39%	0	25%

Hit rate trend

By month resolved · 1 hour horizon

Not enough history in this window for a trend.

Bullish / bearish split

▲ Bullish0 calls · 3 directional33.3%

▼ Bearish0 calls · 1 directional0.0%

By asset

7 days · 1h

BTC 3 directional33.3%
ETH 0 directional—
MEMES 1 directional0.0%

Prediction history

3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence

All Correct Incorrect Neutral Pending Unresolved Unscored

19 Oct 2026, 14:32 UTC
“#Bitcoin / $BTC I still believe it's worth having cash sitting on the sidelines to max bid mid / late November. BTC has bottomed shortly after midterms (11/3) the last two bear markets. Strategy potentially getting removed from MSCI indexes for being a "non-operating company" is also a bigger deal than people are giving it credit for. JP Morgan estimated that exclusion from MSCI indexes could trigger ~$2.8 billion in passive sales for $MSTR. Which resurfaces the Strategy / MSTR / STRC fears from earlier this summer... Wanted to see $100K and new ATHs asap, but charts look weaker than I'd like and I think it's important to derisk while majors are still at a relatively strong spot.”
BTC▼ Bearishinferred