@CryptoKaleo · καλέω: to call This is my journal Co-Founder - @LedgArt_io
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
72
Top 28% · #3 of 9 ranked
Scored calls
57
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
46.2%
12 correct / 14 incorrect · 31 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.35%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+20.1%
Equal stake on all 57 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+0.32%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (60) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 18% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 44.9% | 50 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.4% | 19 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.32% | 54 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
31 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#Bitcoin / $BTC I still believe it's worth having cash sitting on the sidelines to max bid mid / late November. BTC has bottomed shortly after midterms (11/3) the last two bear markets. Strategy potentially getting removed from MSCI indexes for being a "non-operating company" is also a bigger deal than people are giving it credit for. JP Morgan estimated that exclusion from MSCI indexes could trigger ~$2.8 billion in passive sales for $MSTR. Which resurfaces the Strategy / MSTR / STRC fears from earlier this summer... Wanted to see $100K and new ATHs asap, but charts look weaker than I'd like and I think it's important to derisk while majors are still at a relatively strong spot.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
92 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.07 | 81 | 25% |
30 days · 4h
“robinhood:0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f Robinhood Chain will have multiple multi-billion dollar cats. Zero doubt in my mind HMM will be one of them. This base range its been accumulating in is a gift for anyone who's been stacking. The next leg up will be violent and swift when it happens. Bullieve in something. 🤔🐈”
“@AoTpokerplayer win some trades and lose others! but - if that stretch showed anything, it's that $STRC can depeg during extreme volatility... so why not short it and collect a premium while having almost zero liquidation risk vs. trying to short BTC for a hedge against bearish price action?”
“realize I sent this out yesterday, was feeling the hopium coursing through my veins after living a 37 hour Tuesday while heading home from Singapore... still don't think it's impossible to send straight to $100K+ but main thing here is to not look at posts like this and immediately think "dang I should go open up a 20x long because if that happens I'll print!" just keep stacking patiently... when the market really starts to move, you won't need the leverage to win https://t.co/aYLVdpXXsl”
“$ETH / $BTC Ethereum just had a clean breakout / retest of a nearly decade long bearish resistance… Get ready for record breaking short squeezes Be more bullish https://t.co/ELw7kd9AXy”
“#Bitcoin / $BTC 30% is FUD. Be more bullish. https://t.co/eoWQhSodQw”
“We’re in a phase of the market where people have forgotten how to believe in runners. I still am confident that Robinhood Chain has outsized growth potential moving forward, and that $HMM will be an integral part of its lore. Healthy distribution takes time. The longer a coin ranges while holding a firm base - the more opportunity it gives to reward people within the community who actually believe in it when it finally sends higher. HMM doesn’t have any of the typical names that you see on fomo that are known for purely extracting and moving on at the top of its leaderboard because its growth has happened purely organically. The top holders have all continued to stack in this range and believe in billions. I think Robinhood Chain has the potential to be larger than Solana ever was last cycle, and that HMM can be the top cat on its chain. I also believe cats are undervalued as a whole. e.g. why I think HMM can be bigger than WIF was last cycle. Only a matter of time before the next leg up happens. When it does, I’ll be back at the top of the leaderboard. Watch me to do it here ➡️ https://t.co/xuYbTqyGvJ”
“$ETH / $BTC Bottom. Alt season is coming. https://t.co/ACTI5kkcBO”
“$ETH / $BTC Bottom. Alt season is coming. https://t.co/ACTI5kkcBO”
“Bottom is in on $PONS and the pons eco. Robinhood chain next leg up will be massive. Nobody’s bullish enough 🤔 https://t.co/O67Ju6ChRR https://t.co/AiJFqWE1WC”
““KALEO quit picking on $STONK can’t believe you’re saying $100M is a good place to bid you’re just fudding it while being bullish on $PONS.” Bros - I said the same thing about PONS weeks ago as I’m saying about STONK now. After PONS had its first leg up, it had a 75% correction before finding a bottom and working its way back toward ATHs for the next leg up. I expect STONK to do the same here. Don’t think it’s dead / dying. Ecosystem is still strong. Extreme volatility is just a natural part of rapid growth. Opportunity to stack a cheap high conviction bag if you believe in it.”
“If you believe in Robinhood Chain, $PONS is free here. Think it's only a matter of time before we see a next leg up for it and the ecosystem as a whole. Said the same thing in August and it played out pretty well. Quit overthinking it. Stack winners & chill. 🤔🐈 https://t.co/DDcb6KMjYz https://t.co/GqXoRQPF8E”
“$STONK down nearly 40% from this post. Received a ton of hate in the comments. Never meant to FUD it. Just wanted to encourage people to take profit while it was still in a position of strength. Hopefully it helped a few people. Chart still looks like it has a bit of downside left to go. Most coins that find a local top after major moves like this see drawdowns of 75%+ before finding a bottom and running it back for the next leg higher. Anywhere under $100M is an easy buy.”
“robinhood:0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f Billions will think. Robinhood Chain TVL is still sitting at $1B while base is at $6.5B. BTC & ETH are still going to send way higher. There’s never been a more obvious play than getting that billions of dollars of new capital will continue to flow into the hood ecosystem. They’ve barely scratched the surface of utilization and pushing the chain in the app. Only a matter of time before we see god candles across the board. In the meantime, the thinking cat chart has held up better than almost anything else on the chain and looks like it might front run the move. Study relative strength and bid accordingly. 🤔🐈”
“robinhood:0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f Billions will think. Robinhood Chain TVL is still sitting at $1B while base is at $6.5B. BTC & ETH are still going to send way higher. There’s never been a more obvious play than getting that billions of dollars of new capital will continue to flow into the hood ecosystem. They’ve barely scratched the surface of utilization and pushing the chain in the app. Only a matter of time before we see god candles across the board. In the meantime, the thinking cat chart has held up better than almost anything else on the chain and looks like it might front run the move. Study relative strength and bid accordingly. 🤔🐈”