@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
71
Top 30% · #7 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
402
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
50.3%
198 correct / 196 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.12%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+49.1%
Equal stake on all 402 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.14%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (63) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 49.9% | 39 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 21 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.14% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I don't think the markets have seen anything yet. However, if this continues to accelerate, I strongly doubt we'll have a 3 year bull market. I think we get a 1.5-2 year violent bull market on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins that's comparable to the https://t.co/rFbY3kw4gd bubble (from 1998 on).”
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @CryptoMichNL head to head.
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.25 | 85 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“#Bitcoin is extremely cheap. We're still at the undervaluation part of the cycle. https://t.co/GEFcAnWlTO”
“This is such a phenomenal chart. $ETH vs. bitcoin:native signals that we're likely going to get more momentum this month on Ethereum as it's holding a higher timeframe support level. Would assume that the Clarity Act will help in that. https://t.co/mlYtLsf7il”
“It seems to be a matter of time until we're reaching $78,000 on #Bitcoin as a test again. Remember: it's still rangebound, so nothing to worry. https://t.co/WXIwtlWfPf https://t.co/jTHInk9ZQ9”
“Out of my $200,000 altcoin portfolio, I just made one position bigger than everything else. $25,000 into a single project. Not because I'm certain. Because conviction without sizing is just an opinion, and this is the one I'm willing to size. Bitcoin is copy-pasting its 2022 price action, social interest is firing again, and the on-chain trenches are alive, new projects on Robinhood are going parabolic. It has all the early-bull-market signals I've been waiting for. So in this video I show exactly where my conviction sits and why. What I cover: – Why this looks like the start of the cycle, not the end of a bounce, and the ethereum:0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca chart that shows how four-year downtrends actually flip – The @TechDev_52 framework connecting the business cycle to altcoin appetite – My full portfolio after the final adds, including why I bought bittensor:native – The one #altcoin that became my largest position: the thesis, the charts, and what has to stay true for it to keep that spot – How I plan to scale out and compound the profits instead of round-tripping them The last cycle taught me that being right about the market means nothing if your sizing doesn't reflect it. This time the portfolio matches the conviction. Full breakdown 👇”
“I don't see a 'deep' correction on #Bitcoin happening. It's consolidating nicely. If there's an opportunity to be buying this <$74,000, I'd be very happy. Other than that, the level at $82,850 is still untested and I think we'll see this test happening in the coming weeks. https://t.co/XAMBikeUs4”
“I wouldn't be surprised if; - $NEAR runs to $5 - $LINK runs to $20 - $SUI runs to $2 - sei-network:native runs to $0.15 - $ETH goes to $3,000+ - bitcoin:native hits $90,000 Those are all relatively easy to hit in the coming period, as long as Bitcoin consolidates.”
“I wouldn't be surprised if; - $NEAR runs to $5 - $LINK runs to $20 - $SUI runs to $2 - sei-network:native runs to $0.15 - $ETH goes to $3,000+ - bitcoin:native hits $90,000 Those are all relatively easy to hit in the coming period, as long as Bitcoin consolidates.”
“solana:JUPyiwrYJFskUPiHa7hkeR8VUtAeFoSYbKedZNsDvCN is about to witness a strong continuation, with a slight caveat. The caveat is that we're looking to see whether or not we'll be holding above $0.23. If that does happen, then the gap and the recent highs are likely going to be taken out and we'd be looking at a rally towards $0.60 on this one, as it looks quite strong.”
“$PONS going on a correction, dragging down the entire memecoin ecosystem. That's going to happen more often than you think. Nothing goes up in a straight line. The onchain momentum isn't dead either. Use the dips to be buying into positions, that's the best thing you could do as we're literally just getting started.”
“#Bitcoin still looks the same. The period that this consolidates is the period where #Altcoins are firing of. This is a great sign for the markets. The bull market is here. https://t.co/hO1J2wKRQS”
“I've been tweeting about ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 for the past 4-5 months, as the signals for this massive breakout upwards were there. It's now up 190% and it's just beginning. https://t.co/3GFaQ1b9yr https://t.co/5IezHSoWm2”
“It's always great when the big guys are joining you on $OTC. @frankdegods took a position. Long since $1.4M MC already. This is likely going to continue running towards $30-50M. Account is close to $10,000, which is a 16X since I've started a week ago. Game is starting. Join me here: https://t.co/R1gbDwspqw”
“The chart on #Bitcoin remains the same. Remind yourself: weekend pumps are usually retracing on Sunday and correct more on Monday. Time to remain patient on new entries on these assets. The chances will always come to you. https://t.co/wM8tWbL057”
“I'm expecting to see more upside from $SOL, honestly. It's broken the downtrend (also, a strong bullish divergence there). It's flipped the area at 11000 sats for support and it continued to rally up. These rallies don't stop in a week, they tend to continue to move, meaning that I expect to see a rally to 15000-17000 sats in the coming weeks/months.”