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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #5 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
212
0 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
47.3%
97 correct / 108 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.26%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+56.0%
Equal stake on all 212 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (65) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.6% | 25 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 13 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.25% | 84 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
539 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I'm seeing a lot of people assuming that #Bitcoin must go down to $63K. It doesn't have to. The longer it stalls here, the higher the chances that the markets aren't going to go that much down. There are a lot of people sidelined and eager to be buying back in. That's why we're likely going to see a lot of quick buying coming in when Bitcoin hits $71,000-72,000.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
95 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.38 | 91 | 25% |
90 days · 1h
“Fairly nice consolidation range is being established on #Bitcoin. Sure, things can change quickly, but with the current build-up, a test at those highs seem inevitable. Anything <$74,000 is a phenomenal opportunity to go for. https://t.co/1qOPwHWJIc”
“Upwards trends can last longer than you expect, which means that we're looking for another push on the #Altcoin markets. I think that we'll also see a push of #Bitcoin to atleast $82,700, perhaps even $90,000. Does that rule out a heavy correction in September/October? Definitely not. A standard 20-40% correction does happen in a bull market.”
“The $BTC chart of $SUI looks absolutely horrible. However, this is about to change for two reasons. - Technically there are massive bullish divergences indicating that the markets are about to reverse. We've seen this at the low for #Bitcoin, and it's also shown on many #Altcoin charts, meaning that better times are upon us. - I assume that we'll see #Bitcoin consolidate soon enough, meaning that liquidity will start to rotate towards other narratives and that's where I think #Altcoins will start to do well.”
“The longer #Bitcoin stays in this area, the lower the chances of a revisit at the lows will be. I think that these chances are already <15% overall. If Bitcoin pulls another leg, I think that we'll end at $90,000 and the range between $70,000-90,000 is what we'll be trading in between for the coming 2-4 months before we'll break towards all-time highs.”
“We're at the generational bottom of #Bitcoin for this cycle and the upside is way larger than previous cycle. https://t.co/z69hzr2yWA”
“It looks to me as if we're going to get another upwards move on the markets, which might bring $MORPHO to $4. https://t.co/lNnySeLGbD https://t.co/5i8jfoN7dB”
“On #Bitcoin, the structure remains intact. Yes, it's a correction, and that has happened before. I'm still looking at $76,400/77,100 as potential levels for support. If those are lost, we'll see a deeper correction, but overall, we're just going to be building a range and in that range, #Altcoins will have a new leg upwards.”
“The markets are saved, the earnings on $NVDA are very positive. Time for the Nasdaq to go up, time for #Bitcoin to have another rally. https://t.co/046aixwog1”
“#Bitcoin bouncing back up is a good sign. If this lasts, and it remains above $78,000, I don't see any issue of not going towards those highs again. https://t.co/egLfCAbBi7”
“An ideal buy the dip area for $ETH is coming up soon. https://t.co/55toKVdp8F”
“Time to become interested in $SUI as this area has hit. https://t.co/OO2TBSlTmc https://t.co/dJnDIMcTOU”
“In the larger picture, this is what I think about #Bitcoin. There are two scenarios: 1 - We're finding resistance here at $82,700 (the last weekly high) and we're going to consolidate for the coming months. 2 - It's not going to find resistance there and it continues to move to $90,000 and we'll consolidate between $76,000-90,000. In any scenario, things are looking great for a period of sideways action on Bitcoin and #Altcoins to wake up.”
“It would be funny if we get another small sweep on #Bitcoin and then back up again. It wouldn't be funny if that sweep is all the way towards $76.5K. Other than that, that would finalize the correction on #Altcoins and bring back the joy on them for the coming period. https://t.co/GtFX4h6KtK”
“Buying #Bitcoin at $60,000-80,000 is the equivalent of buying #Bitcoin at $20,000-25,000 in previous cycle. Not even to speak about #Altcoins, as I expect the altcoins to do way better this cycle vs. previous cycle.”