@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #5 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
211
0 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
47.1%
96 correct / 108 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.26%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+55.8%
Equal stake on all 211 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (65) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.5% | 25 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 13 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.25% | 84 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
540 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“This remains to be my primary scenario. The moment that #Bitcoin stalls for a minute, you'll most likely start to see the strongest #Altcoins break upwards. I'm eyeing $ETH, $SOL as the main characters of this. https://t.co/OZbbFCEYMH”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.38 | 91 | 25% |
90 days · 1h
“This remains to be my primary scenario. The moment that #Bitcoin stalls for a minute, you'll most likely start to see the strongest #Altcoins break upwards. I'm eyeing $ETH, $SOL as the main characters of this. https://t.co/OZbbFCEYMH”
“The picture on $SOL looks phenomenal. I honestly expect to see some consolidation on #Bitcoin (and if it goes higher, great, more liquidity ready to flow towards #Altcoins). Solana is on edge of a breakout here. If it breaks the highs, the next target zone it could stop is $81, but most likely $88-89. That would bring a lot of onchain activity with it.”
“Despite the overall weakness on the markets, great move of #Bitcoin here. If I'm going to get the opportunity, I'm going to take a long <$64,000 here. I'm not sure whether we'll see it, as the markets look more and more like they want to break out in the coming days/weeks. Breaking the resistance zone at $65,000 = $68,000 next and potentially $73,000. That's why the <$64,000 can be a money maker.”
“I repeat: this is the final stage of the bear market. Don't make things complicated for yourself. Just accumulate #Bitcoin, your favourite #Altcoins and wait. https://t.co/oVDBPnzDZ2”
“$ETH is in an interesting position. If this consolidates, the most likely reason for that is that #Bitcoin continues to run higher. Scenarios for me: 1⃣ - #Bitcoin breaks up and rallies towards $68,000 or even $73,000. We'll most likely see $ETH vs. $BTC correct back down, and I'm not expecting a deep correction, just 4-5% to be keeping the USD value relatively flat. In that scenario, I'm interested in buying this dip around 0.0280. 2⃣ - #Bitcoin drops down to $60,500-61,000. In that case I expect to see these pairs to remain flat and not do much. I would expect to see 0.03050 to be tested and swept, potentially even 0.0320 as $ETH has been acting significantly stronger than Bitcoin recently. Either way, the general thesis for me is that I expect Bitcoin to trend higher and that would mean that liquidity gets sucked out of the rest due to FOMO. Once #Bitcoin consolidates --> money flows back into those assets.”
“$ETH is in an interesting position. If this consolidates, the most likely reason for that is that #Bitcoin continues to run higher. Scenarios for me: 1⃣ - #Bitcoin breaks up and rallies towards $68,000 or even $73,000. We'll most likely see $ETH vs. $BTC correct back down, and I'm not expecting a deep correction, just 4-5% to be keeping the USD value relatively flat. In that scenario, I'm interested in buying this dip around 0.0280. 2⃣ - #Bitcoin drops down to $60,500-61,000. In that case I expect to see these pairs to remain flat and not do much. I would expect to see 0.03050 to be tested and swept, potentially even 0.0320 as $ETH has been acting significantly stronger than Bitcoin recently. Either way, the general thesis for me is that I expect Bitcoin to trend higher and that would mean that liquidity gets sucked out of the rest due to FOMO. Once #Bitcoin consolidates --> money flows back into those assets.”
“There we go. Matter of time until it reaches $65,000 and that would strengthen the case for a stronger breakout on #Bitcoin. https://t.co/E5nEvzgxyz https://t.co/oxfLPOT8jm”
“I'm still eyeing a potential long on $BTC on lower levels here, most ideal between $63,750-64,000. Quite honestly I'm not looking for a deep drop after this push, as that would be a signal of weakness. Much rather I'd want to see a continued strength towards $65,000, shallow correction and then a stronger breakout going into September. If the markets fall back to <$63,400, I think we'll see $60,000-61,000.”
“There we go, it took a little bit of time, but this one went to <$0.01210 and bounced swiftly. $PLUME should continue to $0.01290-0.01300 and form a resistance there. If that happens + there's a S/R flip on $0.0122-0.0124 after that, we're going to see new highs on this asset in the coming weeks.”
“Great impulse on #Bitcoin and we've monitored it entirely. I think we'll still see $65,000 in the coming days/week, and I'm looking for longs. $BTC has hit resistance and should therefore find some level of support for buyers to be stepping in. I think that this is the area between $63,800-64,000 as a potential entry zone (on the lower timeframes).”
“I've discussed $SUI yesterday. Classic liquidity sweep on many #Altcoins today on the markets. This results into a high volume candle due to the fact that a lot of stops are here. The ideal entry zone, and that's why I think that entering here could be ideal. A reversal is likely going to take it all the way towards $0.75.”
“My main scenario is that we've seen the bottom and that we're going to break up in the coming period towards $73,000. A breakout towards there, and I think that we'll leave the most obvious liquidity levels behind us for #Bitcoin. It's also a trigger for #Altcoins to be starting to be waking up again, as people need confidence. It will come, just be patient.”
“There we go. Very simple, it retraced towards $63,300 to take some liquidity. That was enough for acceleration, and that has dragged the price of #Bitcoin upwards to $64,600 in a fast manner, as there was a lot of liquidity to grab. It might even run towards $65,000. What's next? My main scenario is that we've seen the bottom and that we're going to break up in the coming period towards $73,000. However, $65,000 is a period to stall, that's a final resistance zone, and that's where I'd be willing to take profits now. I'm also willing to be buying at <$64,000 in the coming days. I'm more interested into #Altcoins as I expect them to outperform fastly.”
“To be honest, the daily chart of $ETH starts to look better day after day. This is generally how I'm viewing the current market on $ETH. ▫️ There are many liquidity levels beneath us on the long side, meaning that it's very likely that we'll drop fast if $ETH loses $1,870. What am I expecting then? Potentially sub $1,700 before we'll bounce back up. ▫️ However, given the current construction, higher highs and higher lows, it's more likely that a break upwards is going to happen and that triggers some important levels. If $2,000 is clearly a breakthrough, I don't think we'll stall, it could be a violent move just like we've seen earlier in 2025. It could stall briefly at $2,200 as a mid-level, but overall I'm expecting to see a run towards $2,800.”