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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
81
Top 19% · #4 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
214
0 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
48.9%
45 correct / 47 incorrect · 122 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.26%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+55.5%
Equal stake on all 214 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.25%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (70) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 49.5% | 53 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 13 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.25% | 81 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
45 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“That's a possible bullish divergence on $ETH indicating that we're reversing back upwards here. https://t.co/gcUCxNxvFq https://t.co/fF5aPFAqUz”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
95 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.38 | 91 | 25% |
90 days · 1h
“I've mentioned this before: The $84,000 level is a crucial one to break for #Bitcoin. It didn't. We continue to consolidate. That's why I think that $82,000 is a level which must-hold. The reason for that is that I think that once it loses that level, we'll start to grab liquidity way lower and we'll accelerate deeper. What's on the cards then? Potentially $79K, or even $77K would be possible. A longer period of consolidation then.”
“Unfortunately, $ETH couldn't break upwards, but the flipside of that is that we're getting into a phenomenal entry point here in this correction. https://t.co/SpXuyXOS0a”
“If you're enthusiastic of the recent moves on the markets on the #Altcoins, then zoom out. This is ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85. You can hardly see that it has been moving upwards. This is just a small start. https://t.co/TlL7zfC892”
“$PLUME is doing great and #Altcoins in general keep on having momentum. I wouldn't be surprised if we're going to continue seeing big breakouts, as yesterday hedera-hashgraph:native, ethereum:0xc944e90c64b2c07662a292be6244bdf05cda44a7 and algorand:native did happen. $PLUME is building up for a similar case.”
“During times of uncertainty on social media, but clear technical signs of a reversal coming in. That's when you should be taking the bet on going into fundamentally strong assets. That's why @MNFund_ has been allocating more towards the base asset allocation over the summer instead of trading volatility with the algorithm. More potential upside to be made through $BTC, $ETH, $NEAR and other assets. Many signals are indicating that the markets have flipped into a bull cycle much rather than a continuation of the bear market.”
“If you look at the picture of $ETH, nothing wrong is happening. It's just consolidation after a renewed push higher and even if this tests $2,530, that's completely fine. https://t.co/4Jyf0RgYQK”
“I've said it a few times over the past few days. #Bitcoin need to break through $84,800 in order to get some momentum. Unfortunately this didn't happen and markets are correcting. I'm interested to see what Bitcoin will be doing around the $81,800 mark as a potential test. Losing that level would mean that we're going into a multi-week correction on the markets (which I doubt).”
“It's that stage of the markets where #Bitcoin consolidates and #Altcoins are simply generating a way higher return. That's why buying the dip is the game for coming months.”
“It's the same for $ETH. I mean, as long as this stays above $2,550, then there's no issue at all. Probably the right plan to simply buy the dip. https://t.co/FPChjQTx0j”
“$ETH is getting into an interesting zone. If this area breaks, the next area of resistance is likely $3,400 and that would mean that we're back into a new range. I don't think we'll see anything sub $2,000 in the near future again. https://t.co/3ubLBpC10s”
“There are still many charts that haven't been breaking upwards, yet. $PLUME is one of them. I've taken a position into this one (shared for my subs) and I'm expecting this to breakout heavily in the coming period as it's testing this resistance again. https://t.co/iZlfqjSTla”
“Fantastic run on $NEAR and I would be very, very pleased if it breaks through here. In the short term, I doubt it. I think that liquidity will flow towards other narratives that are going to follow $NEAR in its footsteps. Likely it will consolidate here, other assets run, #Bitcoin corrects and $NEAR goes back to $3 and then runs again later in Q4.”
“The fourth request was ethereum:0xfaba6f8e4a5e8ab82f62fe7c39859fa577269be3. I mentioned this earlier in the week, signaling that this asset has a lot of volatility on the horizon. That's happening. It's comparable to $TAO, struggling to break through this resistance zone. However, once that happens, I expect a breakout toward $0.49 and potentially $0.57.”
“It's very simple. Any flip in this level at $76,700 for #Bitcoin is a phenomenal long entry to the range high. Markets are bullish. https://t.co/3cogUQKa2B”