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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
45
Top 55% · #6 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
52
2 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
50.0%
12 correct / 12 incorrect · 28 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
-0.32%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
-16.5%
Equal stake on all 52 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.33%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (40) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 12% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 49.7% | 67 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −31.8% | 19 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.33% | 11 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
12 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#Bitcoin isn't that bearish. It's also not very bullish, yet. It just needs to take out the high and then we'll start to accelerate. Most likely if US Open is green, we'll start to see outperformance here as we've just witnessed a classic correction on Sunday. To me, higher timeframe based, everything looks like it's a normal correction before the next impulse move upwards to $90,000.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
93 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.11 | 30 | 25% |
30 days · 24h
“I've covered #Bitcoin yesterday, and I mentioned that we were facing some crucial resistance zones. Couldn't break. Now it did hold support, #Altcoins are having a little bit of a struggle pacing up with Bitcoin, which is normal. Confidence is slightly lost, and that will be back. As long as Bitcoin makes a higher low now, it's very likely that we'll just proceed moving upwards.”
“We're almost at the end of the correction for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/sAacnsE4J5”
“$ETH has been chopping around for a long time now, so it's just a matter of time before we'll be seeing a big breakout taking place. https://t.co/LzfZqo0C7w”
“The unemployment data is 4.2% vs 4.1%. Essentially, there's no data in there. The FED is likely going to remain rates unchanged, which means that we won't have rate cuts. That means = bullish for #Bitcoin. Rates slowly upwards and/or stable is completely fine for the markets. Rate cuts = the end of the bull run.”
“To be fair, there are multiple assets that are ready to be making a new leg upwards. Ultimately, this comes down to #Bitcoin breaking upwards, for sure. Just having a small eye on the markets, and things like $XPL, $EIGEN, $PLUME and many others are eager for that next push.”
“To be fair, there are multiple assets that are ready to be making a new leg upwards. Ultimately, this comes down to #Bitcoin breaking upwards, for sure. Just having a small eye on the markets, and things like $XPL, $EIGEN, $PLUME and many others are eager for that next push.”
“I've said it a few times over the past few days. #Bitcoin need to break through $84,800 in order to get some momentum. Unfortunately this didn't happen and markets are correcting. I'm interested to see what Bitcoin will be doing around the $81,800 mark as a potential test. Losing that level would mean that we're going into a multi-week correction on the markets (which I doubt).”
“Many of these charts haven't had any bull run so far. $GRASS is an example. Very likely this will have a strong run due to the fact that it's an usecase that hasn't become the main narrative just yet. https://t.co/clEQGfmXN6”
“The higher timeframe picture of #Bitcoin is simple: the train doesn't want to stop. At this point, it's clearly continuing its upwards momentum and the only levels that I think we'll pause on: - $91K - $98K Depending on the strength of this move, we'll go to the first or the second.”
“I'm still active on FOMO. Onchain hasn't been trending the past few weeks, as the large caps have been taking momentum (have been trading $SUI, $AVAX, $NEAR). Expecting to see liquidity flow back towards the onchain ecosystem. Betting on $BOW, robinhood:0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277 and the $STONK ecoystem as my main plays. Still at $9,600. Join me here: https://t.co/R1gbDwrRAY”
“Fantastic run on $NEAR and I would be very, very pleased if it breaks through here. In the short term, I doubt it. I think that liquidity will flow towards other narratives that are going to follow $NEAR in its footsteps. Likely it will consolidate here, other assets run, #Bitcoin corrects and $NEAR goes back to $3 and then runs again later in Q4.”