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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
96
Top 4% · #1 of 12 ranked
Scored calls
80
50 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
77.5%
62 correct / 18 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+11.77%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+942.0%
Equal stake on all 80 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+7.27%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (96) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 18% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 72.8% | 90 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −29.4% | 100 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +7.27% | 97 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
196 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“When it comes to $ETH, there are three levels to monitor here. I'm looking at a case of $2,355 sweep first, and that probably drags it to $2,300 of which I'd like to start building a position. Best case: $2,200 would be the ideal spot for long entries. However, ultimately, this dip is to get yourself positioned before $ETH goes to $3,000.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
93 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.35 | 100 | 25% |
30 days · 30d
“The answer is: not yet, for #Bitcoin. Clearly rejecting at $77,700 and therefore expecting to see a sweep of the recent low at $76,400 and a test at the zone at $76,200. If that doesn't hold, we'll see a tremendous opportunity at $74,000 as a potential test and entry zone. https://t.co/fC6rquFdqU https://t.co/DOTm6Nym0w”
“I wouldn't be surprised if bitcoin:native is taking the lows and finds itself back again at either $76K or $77K. The range is clearly defined, and what does that mean? Exactly, below the range low and/or the range low is where I'm getting interested. https://t.co/MtBKHGE6CA”
“#Bitcoin remains to be stuck in the range, which means that, after rejecting the highs, I wouldn't be surprised if we're going to be seeing a little sweep towards the lows again. https://t.co/5GXe7I1Bad”
“A strong sign for the markets is the current rise in $SOL vs. bitcoin:native. I don't think that this will stall. The reason is that we're breaking a one-year downtrend and have barely started trending upward. Target zone is still another 30% up from here. https://t.co/87b2EihzrL https://t.co/yLppmxTSGq”
“$ETH vs. bitcoin:native remains to be going sideways and looks to be going into a great entry zone here. I expect $ETH to outperform Bitcoin for the coming month due to the Clarity Act approval. https://t.co/SjQnnp2ACP”
“Great move of $ETH vs. bitcoin:native. There's more to come once this breaks through the 0.032 area. https://t.co/bkNmjgdgGi”
“Fair chances that this correction on #Altcoins is coming to an end already, indicating that we'll have another leg upwards. I'm looking at things like $NEAR, $TAO, $SUI, ethereum:0xfaba6f8e4a5e8ab82f62fe7c39859fa577269be3, $W, sei-network:native as the next leg contendors.”
“If there's any point in time to be looking at longs for #Bitcoin at $72,000 or $74,000. I think those will be tremendous opportunities for people who haven't been accumulating at $60,000.”
“Looks to me as if we're going to see a strong breakout on $PLUME. RWA season is in full force, meaning that I'm accumulating positions massively. https://t.co/H1IXSrue9C”
“Weekly bullish divergences take a little bit of time, which is fine. However, in that regard: ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is looking great. Sure, we're seeing a correction here, but sooner than later Bitcoin pairs will start to get momentum and we'll see this weekly bullish divergence come to play and be confirmed.”
“If this is a true breakout on $ETH, we're expecting to see a lot more upside, probablyanother leg. My expectations are that the next leg goes to $3,200, perhaps even $3,500 and stalls from there. Don't sell your positions too early. https://t.co/YXxmvktELn”
“Most likely a lot of people will be left behind waiting for $60K to happen again. If this sweeps $75.5K and hits $74K, it will probably be bought up rather quickly for #Bitcoin. Bull markets don't give deep retraces. If this consolidates here and grinds back up, we'll see $90K in September/October and the low is in.”
“I remember these periods from 2023. Everyone expected deep retraces to be taking place in the markets. Neither of those happened in #Bitcoin, as it kept grinding higher. That's similar to the current period. Sure, we can have a test at $75,000 or even $72,000. However, given the fact that so many are currently sidelined, and if we're truly in a bull market, these will be quickly bought up.”
“Over the past 14 months, our primary goal was to avoid excessive losses in the fund. Why? The markets have been an absolute terrible state. #Bitcoin dropped by 50% since our launch. Ethereum has corrected more, not to speak of #Altcoins. Our current state is that we've outperformed Bitcoin by 25% in that period of time and we're expecting to see the start of the bull market from here. Interested into allocating funds into the markets? Feel free to go to our website, read our information and schedule a call/office visit with me or my team.”