@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
97
Top 3% · #1 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
251
47 pending · 9 unresolved
Hit rate
78.5%
197 correct / 54 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+11.62%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+2916.4%
Equal stake on all 251 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+6.77%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (96) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 24% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 78.1% | 100 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −91.1% | 88 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +6.77% | 97 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
633 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The worst period for $ETH is over. ➡️ - $ETH vs. BTC is breaking out upwards and building a higher low, which means that we're back in an uptrend. ➡️ - Three red quarters in a row hasn't occurred, the chances of having four in a row are statistically very low. ➡️ - The 4-year cycle boomers will wait it out until the markets continue to grind upwards, and will buy back higher. ➡️ - The most hated trade ever. ➡️ - The Clarity Act approval will unlock more liquidity flowing into the $ETH ecosystem.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.38 | 97 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“There are strong signals that crypto will outperform vs. the stock markets in the coming period. The AI boom is over for a little bit -> rotation of capital. How is that going to take place? Quite easily: there needs to be a #Crypto narrative. Possible options: - Clarity Act approval activates on-chain activity + interest in DeFi. - Memecoins on $SOL are back again, so risk capital is eager to find a place there for more upside. - #Bitcoin breaks upwards and the $STRC saga is over, meaning that liquidity from the ETFs can flow in. It's quite easily a cocktail that should end up with a lot of upside, especially since the BTC/QQQ chart is showing massive bullish divergences on multiple indicators on multiple timeframes. Those are rare.”
“There are strong signals that crypto will outperform vs. the stock markets in the coming period. The AI boom is over for a little bit -> rotation of capital. How is that going to take place? Quite easily: there needs to be a #Crypto narrative. Possible options: - Clarity Act approval activates on-chain activity + interest in DeFi. - Memecoins on $SOL are back again, so risk capital is eager to find a place there for more upside. - #Bitcoin breaks upwards and the $STRC saga is over, meaning that liquidity from the ETFs can flow in. It's quite easily a cocktail that should end up with a lot of upside, especially since the BTC/QQQ chart is showing massive bullish divergences on multiple indicators on multiple timeframes. Those are rare.”
“@QuintenFrancois It's the best bet to take, probably alongside with $LINK and $ENS.”
“That's a strong move of $ETH vs. $BTC. It's going to be the strongest weekly candle since August '25. Nearly a year of downward momentum is changing right now, towards an upward move. No clear breakout yet; I'd like to see $ETH break through 0.028 in the coming week, but the first steps are great. Especially with the Clarity Act coming up.”
“#Bitcoin has had the lowest Monthly RSI read ever. This indicates the stage that we're in, as this is lower than any of the previous bear markets that Bitcoin has witnessed. Clearly the stage of the markets that we're operating in: the worst ever. On top of that: ➡️ - The weekly RSI has hit <30 in February --> the only time this happened was in the Summer of '22. ➡️ - The markets have seen another sweep lower --> Just like 2022. ➡️ - Everyone shouts for lower prices on the markets at the peak bottom. ➡️ - The Weekly MACD has seen the largest negative expansion ever. ➡️ - On-chain indicators state that we're hitting bear market bottom levels for most of those indicators. It's a great time to accumulate. C/ @FrankAFetter”
“There are two strong indications that a market is getting hotter for #Crypto. 1 - The main drivers of the infrastructures are outperforming #Bitcoin. --> This means that Ethereum needs to outperform vs. BTC, and this can also be that Solana is outperforming BTC. Both of them are true, as Ethereum is waking up strongly and Solana has already broken a 1-year downtrend. 2 - DEX tokens are outperforming everything else. --> This means that there's more activity on the chains and therefore, there's more demand for the underlying tokens and that's when you start to see a change in narrative pop up. That's also true, as $JUP, $JTO, $UNI and other DEX tokens are strongly outperforming everything else. I do expect to a strong #Altcoin summer.”
“There are two strong indications that a market is getting hotter for #Crypto. 1 - The main drivers of the infrastructures are outperforming #Bitcoin. --> This means that Ethereum needs to outperform vs. BTC, and this can also be that Solana is outperforming BTC. Both of them are true, as Ethereum is waking up strongly and Solana has already broken a 1-year downtrend. 2 - DEX tokens are outperforming everything else. --> This means that there's more activity on the chains and therefore, there's more demand for the underlying tokens and that's when you start to see a change in narrative pop up. That's also true, as $JUP, $JTO, $UNI and other DEX tokens are strongly outperforming everything else. I do expect to a strong #Altcoin summer.”
“@DorkChicken And it will continue to hold and perform great over the next few weeks.”
“I don't see a reason why this scenario shouldn't play out for $SOL. It's clearly breaking through this resistance zone and flipping the level. I'm expecting to see a strong continuation as long as the range low holds as support. If that happens, we'll likely see $SOL trend to $100+ in the coming 1-2 months.”
“@CryptosBatman I don’t know if this is valid yet, the higher timeframe bullish divergences are probably significantly stronger.”
“Insider Trading: The day before Trump paused the tariffs, his accounts purchased 327 stocks worth up to $12.8 million. He made more than a million by doing this and only got a $200 penalty. They've crashed #Bitcoin and #Crypto to be able to scoop up as much as they can before the Clarity Act and regulation kick in, and they'll launch the biggest bull run. It's all one big manipulation.”
“@BigCheds I'm not sure, mate. It's making strong bullish divergences on the 3D/1W on the $SOL/USD charts and has broken a 10-month downtrend on the SOL/BTC chart.”
“$BTQ is doing great, it's up 150% since the last time I tweeted about it. I don't think it's going to stop, I think it's up to way more upside, as the stock has been so resilient for the weakness in the #Bitcoin markets. The valuation is still undervalued and I think that we're going to see a strong move towards $8+. Why? Massive news came out today. ➡️ $BTQ just cleared the final regulatory hurdle to fully acquire QPerfect. This is a French neutral-atom quantum firm out of Strasbourg and today, the French FDI approval came out. ➡️ This is important as it's broader than solely building tech as BTQ isn't solely building quantum computers. Their focus is on everything post-quantum and to provide a solution to the world on quantum cryptography. Essentially securing the infrastructure that quantum computers potentially could break, including #Bitcoin. That's why I think $BTQ is going to trend significantly higher the moment the market momentum in crypto will change. This deal will turn BTQ into a full-stack quantum company and high on my personal radar of interest. The market cap is only $800M and that's severely low compared to the potential of the underlying stock. Technically: I've posted about BTQ during the moment that it was building up a strong bullish divergence. It's one of the strongest reversal indicators in the markets, and it flashed earlier in the year on BTQ. Since then, the asset rose by more than 150%, yielding a tremendous return for risk investors trusting into the underlying stock and/or believing into the post-quantum vision of $BTQ. I don't think it will stall here. There's a strong uptrend taking place, which should result in significantly more upwards momentum as it's clearly building up more momentum through: - Increasing amount of volume picking up and showing there's real demand at these levels. - Clearly uptrending with higher lows and higher highs (flipping previous resistance levels for support). That's why a breakout above $6 is around the corner, and I'm expecting this to rally to $8-10 in the coming period as I do see a strong correlation between an upwards trending crypto market with $BTQ.”
“I think that Michael Saylor has taken a wise decision with his Digital Credit Framework and has strengthened his position. $STRC has bounced upwards with 25% and is already back at $89. I don't think the markets are currently pricing in the uptick already, and I think that should follow in the coming days/weeks on #Bitcoin. July is going to be great.”