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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 2 more calls to rank
Scored calls
13
11 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
60.0%
3 correct / 2 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+0.51%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+6.7%
Equal stake on all 13 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
-1.84%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (85) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 15% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 41.9% | 80 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −20.8% | 92 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.84% | 92 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 30d
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I'm positively surprised by the price action of #Bitcoin so far. Not dumping through, little bounce back upwards. Everyone, their mother, their cousin and their grandmom are currently shorting #Bitcoin as a shock event, but I don't think that's the play when we've been sweeping the lows.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
88 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.11 | 76 | 25% |
“A scenario where there's a classic sweep of the lows, just before the Clarity Act gets approved, and the bull resumes afterwards. I'd buy that. It's going to be super volatile coming few days for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/5fxtIX7e4d”
“Monitoring the chart on #Bitcoin tells my gut that we're most likely not going to fall that deep. Effectively, we're currently at range low and #Altcoins are showing some interesting signs that they want to proceed again. #Bitcoin needs to reclaim $78,000, but once that happens, we might be in for the next rally towards $90,000 over the next few weeks. (And yes, if this corrects to $74,000, because $78,000 doesn't break, I'm still buying)”