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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
47
Top 53% · #10 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
211
1 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
47.4%
99 correct / 110 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.09%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+19.5%
Equal stake on all 211 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.10%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (41) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.6% | 22 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 19 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.10% | 28 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
539 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The actual returns we're getting when this happens on #Bitcoin are phenomenal. I wouldn't be surprised to see a new ATH of #Bitcoin in Q1 of 2027. https://t.co/2h5zNRubNl”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.08 | 50 | 25% |
90 days · 4h
“@arlowilliams618 Yeah, I'm monitoring this too. If this recent low is lost, I think that we'll see another sweep towards the $78,000 area. Other than that, remains rangebound to me.”
“#Bitcoin looks primed for another leg upwards here. It's still stuck in the range, but it held an important level of support, through which I think that we'll start testing the highs at $82,700. https://t.co/VwKxteHvnj”
“#Bitcoin doesn't have deep corrections in a bull market. Especially not when it's in the first run upwards. It has brief corrections and rarely comes back down again. That's why I think that this correction is already over and if we drop further, that $72,000-74,000 will be a true blessing to be buying back into.”
“This looks quite good for upwards continuation for #Bitcoin. If that happens, then I'm sure we'll see a massive leg upwards for #Altcoins. What would you do if Bitcoin reaches $90K in the coming period? Cry that you didn't buy at $60K? https://t.co/YmzDeKnd6O”
“I'm interested into looking for protocols that will do well on the Robinhood chain as my main thesis is that this chain will become top 4 chains in the #Crypto ecosystem. It will build its own financial ecosystem, meaning that you'd want to build into the DeFi of this chain. $BOW is one of them. The valuation is super low. Risk is super high. But, critical: they keep building. I'm sure that they'll do well. Now is the moment to accumulate those smaller ones.”
“I wouldn't be surprised if we're seeing a pretty violent move upwards on $ETH from here. It's holding support again, if this tests the $2,520 area and starts to break upwards, maybe we're actually going to see $3,000? https://t.co/D5oSRcB9fx”
“That's the test of #Bitcoin which I wanted to see here. Expecting to see that we're not losing this level and, as a matter of fact, are going to see another leg upwards towards the highs. If this is lost, $74,000 is next. https://t.co/7VkJ1JrRla https://t.co/u3T5n3ERid”
“Nothing goes up in a straight line. The same goes for many of the memecoins, $CASHCAT, $MARSCOIN and others. I'm expecting to see the end of the correction close, or we'll have a way deeper correction with #Bitcoin at $74,000 and you'd be able to be buying all those memecoins for a massive discount. First area of interest is at $0.115 for $MARSCOIN.”
“Nothing goes up in a straight line. The same goes for many of the memecoins, $CASHCAT, $MARSCOIN and others. I'm expecting to see the end of the correction close, or we'll have a way deeper correction with #Bitcoin at $74,000 and you'd be able to be buying all those memecoins for a massive discount. First area of interest is at $0.115 for $MARSCOIN.”
“Nothing goes up in a straight line. The same goes for many of the memecoins, $CASHCAT, $MARSCOIN and others. I'm expecting to see the end of the correction close, or we'll have a way deeper correction with #Bitcoin at $74,000 and you'd be able to be buying all those memecoins for a massive discount. First area of interest is at $0.115 for $MARSCOIN.”
“I'm looking at a test at $78,000 for #Bitcoin. This is a zoomed out chart, meaning that if the $78,000 level is lost, I'm expecting to see a deeper correction taking place towards the $74,000 regions. That's going to be a phenomenal opportunity across the board. https://t.co/svQn6jhkgV”
“This is where I start to become interested into positions on bitcoin:native. If this area at $78,000 doesn't hold at support, we'll be seeing a significantly deeper correction towards $74,000 as it will take out all the lows. By the way, I stand by the fact that I think that the $74,000 area probably will be the low of this entire correction and that we're on route for bullish continuation after.”
“I don't think the markets have seen anything yet. However, if this continues to accelerate, I strongly doubt we'll have a 3 year bull market. I think we get a 1.5-2 year violent bull market on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins that's comparable to the https://t.co/rFbY3kw4gd bubble (from 1998 on).”
“#Bitcoin is extremely cheap. We're still at the undervaluation part of the cycle. https://t.co/GEFcAnWlTO”