@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
47
Top 53% · #10 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
211
1 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
47.4%
99 correct / 110 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.09%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+19.5%
Equal stake on all 211 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.10%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (41) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.6% | 22 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 19 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.10% | 28 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
539 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“This is such a phenomenal chart. $ETH vs. bitcoin:native signals that we're likely going to get more momentum this month on Ethereum as it's holding a higher timeframe support level. Would assume that the Clarity Act will help in that. https://t.co/mlYtLsf7il”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.08 | 50 | 25% |
90 days · 4h
“It seems to be a matter of time until we're reaching $78,000 on #Bitcoin as a test again. Remember: it's still rangebound, so nothing to worry. https://t.co/WXIwtlWfPf https://t.co/jTHInk9ZQ9”
“Out of my $200,000 altcoin portfolio, I just made one position bigger than everything else. $25,000 into a single project. Not because I'm certain. Because conviction without sizing is just an opinion, and this is the one I'm willing to size. Bitcoin is copy-pasting its 2022 price action, social interest is firing again, and the on-chain trenches are alive, new projects on Robinhood are going parabolic. It has all the early-bull-market signals I've been waiting for. So in this video I show exactly where my conviction sits and why. What I cover: – Why this looks like the start of the cycle, not the end of a bounce, and the ethereum:0x514910771af9ca656af840dff83e8264ecf986ca chart that shows how four-year downtrends actually flip – The @TechDev_52 framework connecting the business cycle to altcoin appetite – My full portfolio after the final adds, including why I bought bittensor:native – The one #altcoin that became my largest position: the thesis, the charts, and what has to stay true for it to keep that spot – How I plan to scale out and compound the profits instead of round-tripping them The last cycle taught me that being right about the market means nothing if your sizing doesn't reflect it. This time the portfolio matches the conviction. Full breakdown 👇”
“I don't see a 'deep' correction on #Bitcoin happening. It's consolidating nicely. If there's an opportunity to be buying this <$74,000, I'd be very happy. Other than that, the level at $82,850 is still untested and I think we'll see this test happening in the coming weeks. https://t.co/XAMBikeUs4”
“I wouldn't be surprised if; - $NEAR runs to $5 - $LINK runs to $20 - $SUI runs to $2 - sei-network:native runs to $0.15 - $ETH goes to $3,000+ - bitcoin:native hits $90,000 Those are all relatively easy to hit in the coming period, as long as Bitcoin consolidates.”
“I wouldn't be surprised if; - $NEAR runs to $5 - $LINK runs to $20 - $SUI runs to $2 - sei-network:native runs to $0.15 - $ETH goes to $3,000+ - bitcoin:native hits $90,000 Those are all relatively easy to hit in the coming period, as long as Bitcoin consolidates.”
“solana:JUPyiwrYJFskUPiHa7hkeR8VUtAeFoSYbKedZNsDvCN is about to witness a strong continuation, with a slight caveat. The caveat is that we're looking to see whether or not we'll be holding above $0.23. If that does happen, then the gap and the recent highs are likely going to be taken out and we'd be looking at a rally towards $0.60 on this one, as it looks quite strong.”
“$PONS going on a correction, dragging down the entire memecoin ecosystem. That's going to happen more often than you think. Nothing goes up in a straight line. The onchain momentum isn't dead either. Use the dips to be buying into positions, that's the best thing you could do as we're literally just getting started.”
“#Bitcoin still looks the same. The period that this consolidates is the period where #Altcoins are firing of. This is a great sign for the markets. The bull market is here. https://t.co/hO1J2wKRQS”
“I've been tweeting about ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 for the past 4-5 months, as the signals for this massive breakout upwards were there. It's now up 190% and it's just beginning. https://t.co/3GFaQ1b9yr https://t.co/5IezHSoWm2”
“It's always great when the big guys are joining you on $OTC. @frankdegods took a position. Long since $1.4M MC already. This is likely going to continue running towards $30-50M. Account is close to $10,000, which is a 16X since I've started a week ago. Game is starting. Join me here: https://t.co/R1gbDwspqw”
“The chart on #Bitcoin remains the same. Remind yourself: weekend pumps are usually retracing on Sunday and correct more on Monday. Time to remain patient on new entries on these assets. The chances will always come to you. https://t.co/wM8tWbL057”
“I'm expecting to see more upside from $SOL, honestly. It's broken the downtrend (also, a strong bullish divergence there). It's flipped the area at 11000 sats for support and it continued to rally up. These rallies don't stop in a week, they tend to continue to move, meaning that I expect to see a rally to 15000-17000 sats in the coming weeks/months.”
“Surely, if you zoom out on the weekly timeframe for ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1, it's literally just starting up. There's still so much upside to come. Doesn't mean that you need to go all-in on the lower timeframes at this current run. Just accumulate on every correction, there will be wipeouts this month and next month.”
“Surely, if you zoom out on the weekly timeframe for ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1, it's literally just starting up. There's still so much upside to come. Doesn't mean that you need to go all-in on the lower timeframes at this current run. Just accumulate on every correction, there will be wipeouts this month and next month.”