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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
47
Top 53% · #10 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
212
0 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
47.1%
99 correct / 111 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.09%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+19.3%
Equal stake on all 212 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.10%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (41) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.1% | 22 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 19 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.10% | 28 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
539 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The markets are copy/pasting the breakout of 2022/2023 for #Bitcoin. The only thing is that it's much faster in the cycle. Does the cycle still exist? Of course, there will be cycles, question is whether it's the 4-year cycle. Ultimately, bull market from here. https://t.co/2h5zNRubNl”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.08 | 50 | 25% |
90 days · 4h
“This could become a relatively ugly candle in which we'd (best case) land at $78K and continue the ranging. I don't think we'll sweep all the lows immediately for #Bitcoin, I just think we're seeing a regular Friday afternoon correction. It's stuck in a range, meaning that it's still the best time to be accumulating #Altcoins.”
“I'd be a little cautious on entries on #Bitcoin. I think that we might see a relatively harsh sweep on the markets dragging down #Altcoins (and then of course, they'll take off again). Most likely this will happen after Bitcoin has spiked above the yearly high at $82,700. https://t.co/00nbvR9YTG”
“As #Bitcoin has seen a strong move upwards, I wouldn't be surprised to see $ETH pick up momentum from here. A normal correction vs. $BTC has taken place, and I think that we're slowly going to get ourselves into a period where the #Altcoins continue to take over. https://t.co/jYXAJm5AoI”
“#Bitcoin has hit the $76,200 area and ran immediately towards the highs. I don't think we'll correct heavily or whatsoever. Quite honestly, markets should be stalling here, and there's a sweep of $82,700 on the horizon after which the big question becomes: Will this trend continue to $90,000 or will we stop here and consolidate for the coming months? Overall, this is a bull market rally.”
“The big question that needs to be answered from here is whether or not we'll be having a regular cycle from here or a shorter version. It could theoretically be that #Bitcoin had a mid-cycle correction and we're about to enter a 2016-2017 type of rally, with a peak earlier than the regular 4-year cycle top. In all honesty, if the markets continue to go in a 4-year cycle and the markets are already taking of like they are right now, this cycle is going to be so much fun.”
“The #Bitcoin bottom is in. https://t.co/zgLfdzMOsb”
“$ETH vs. bitcoin:native might go down due to the recent move of #Bitcoin. However, the current construction of Ethereum signals that there's a strong breakout on the horizon. I think that we might even be able to rally to $3,000. https://t.co/oN0fdIYEFf”
“Indeed, the correction on #Bitcoin was over. We're going towards a new yearly high above $82,700 and we might continue to rally to $90,000. https://t.co/7oMTbkzDDR https://t.co/Xp61I78n5u”
“If this scenario happens on #Bitcoin, we're definitely going to experience the last easy cycle and this cycle will copypaste the 2017 cycle. https://t.co/XqItrgbSQd”
“$ETH is correcting slightly, which is fine. The time for Ethereum will come soon again, and it's getting into an ideal area to be accumulating positions. https://t.co/RGn80YrK4B”
“ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is a great one. It showed weekly bullish divergences for weeks/months. Actually it started building these since we've hit the low of the markets in February. It's finally breaking out and already up 130% from the lows. That's why you accumulate when nobody wants to accumulate. More assets are going to follow: sei-network:native, $SUI, celestia:native, $W and more of them.”
“Quite honestly, this looks like we're going to see much more upside on the markets. The correction is most likely over, meaning that I expect #Bitcoin to continue to run to $82,700. https://t.co/KDdN6CRpil”
“This cycle resonates massively with the 2017 cycle. There's been so much fundamental growth and incentives coming out that it's finally a cycle that it's time to be enthusiastic about the future of #Crypto again. Where are we? We're literally at the October '15 stages with the first breakout of #Bitcoin, but then with the governmental adoption and strong interest of institutions.”
“@QuintenFrancois It's the worst period to do so, it's actually the best period to be accumulating your #Bitcoin.”