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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
57
Top 43% · #10 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
401
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
49.0%
195 correct / 203 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.06%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+22.8%
Equal stake on all 401 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.08%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (49) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.7% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 24 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.08% | 48 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
1070 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The big question that needs to be answered from here is whether or not we'll be having a regular cycle from here or a shorter version. It could theoretically be that #Bitcoin had a mid-cycle correction and we're about to enter a 2016-2017 type of rally, with a peak earlier than the regular 4-year cycle top. In all honesty, if the markets continue to go in a 4-year cycle and the markets are already taking of like they are right now, this cycle is going to be so much fun.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.07 | 48 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“The #Bitcoin bottom is in. https://t.co/zgLfdzMOsb”
“$ETH vs. bitcoin:native might go down due to the recent move of #Bitcoin. However, the current construction of Ethereum signals that there's a strong breakout on the horizon. I think that we might even be able to rally to $3,000. https://t.co/oN0fdIYEFf”
“Indeed, the correction on #Bitcoin was over. We're going towards a new yearly high above $82,700 and we might continue to rally to $90,000. https://t.co/7oMTbkzDDR https://t.co/Xp61I78n5u”
“If this scenario happens on #Bitcoin, we're definitely going to experience the last easy cycle and this cycle will copypaste the 2017 cycle. https://t.co/XqItrgbSQd”
“$ETH is correcting slightly, which is fine. The time for Ethereum will come soon again, and it's getting into an ideal area to be accumulating positions. https://t.co/RGn80YrK4B”
“ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is a great one. It showed weekly bullish divergences for weeks/months. Actually it started building these since we've hit the low of the markets in February. It's finally breaking out and already up 130% from the lows. That's why you accumulate when nobody wants to accumulate. More assets are going to follow: sei-network:native, $SUI, celestia:native, $W and more of them.”
“Quite honestly, this looks like we're going to see much more upside on the markets. The correction is most likely over, meaning that I expect #Bitcoin to continue to run to $82,700. https://t.co/KDdN6CRpil”
“This cycle resonates massively with the 2017 cycle. There's been so much fundamental growth and incentives coming out that it's finally a cycle that it's time to be enthusiastic about the future of #Crypto again. Where are we? We're literally at the October '15 stages with the first breakout of #Bitcoin, but then with the governmental adoption and strong interest of institutions.”
“@QuintenFrancois It's the worst period to do so, it's actually the best period to be accumulating your #Bitcoin.”
“@TedPillows I don't think that this is the case, honestly. It looks way more like the first breakout in 2022, meaning that we can easily go up fastly here and just not go as low as everyone wants, as there's so much liquidity sidelined.”
“So many #Altcoins look phenomenal at this point. #Bitcoin has been breaking out upwards due to a strong weekly bullish divergence. Now, ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is following through with that move. However, other assets like sei-network:native are having similar moves. This can easily turn into a 5-10x on many of those altcoins.”
“So many #Altcoins look phenomenal at this point. #Bitcoin has been breaking out upwards due to a strong weekly bullish divergence. Now, ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is following through with that move. However, other assets like sei-network:native are having similar moves. This can easily turn into a 5-10x on many of those altcoins.”
“The fun part is that ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 has barely begun trending upwards. I think that there's a lot more upside to come, given that there are multiple higher timeframe bullish divergences. https://t.co/lsgd6Ncot5”
“The fun part is that ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 has barely begun trending upwards. I think that there's a lot more upside to come, given that there are multiple higher timeframe bullish divergences. https://t.co/lsgd6Ncot5”