@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
57
Top 43% · #10 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
402
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
48.9%
195 correct / 204 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.06%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+22.6%
Equal stake on all 402 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.08%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (50) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.5% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 24 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.08% | 52 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
1075 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Most likely case we'll see #Altcoins do another dip alongside #Bitcoin going to $74,000-72,000. After that, buy the dip, see #Bitcoin run to $80,000+. Everyone gets euphoric, we can have some more fun with #Altcoins and #Bitcoin stalls. Let's go.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.07 | 48 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“When it comes to $ETH, I'm expecting to see a period like this. I don't think we'll blast through $3,000 in one-go. Probably we'll consolidate for a second in this area, sweep some lows and continue to grind higher after that. Most likely towards a new all-time high. https://t.co/3nPwudhKBk”
“The $ETH chart is such a bullish chart. If this holds at 0.03, then I'm assuming we'll start to see a big breakout in the coming months. Potential target: 0.044. Why? Well, with this recent breakout we're most likely going to be getting a lot of momentum going into the Clarity Act approval. That itself should carry the markets higher.”
“Insane volatility on this Saturday for #Bitcoin. Nonetheless, haven't traded today, could have done it on things like $TRUMP or $STX, but didn't see any trade coming up on my charts. I'm still expecting to see a classic whipsaw. Up on Sunday. Down on Sunday eve. More down on Monday morning. Up rest of the week. That's going to be the play.”
“The reason I'm expecting a continuation here is due to the fact that there are still some levels for #Bitcoin to break. The bear market mentality is quite often shouting for more downside to come, which then rarely comes. The chart is clear. I'm looking for swing positions at $70-72K and would be closing out some for the near future at $83k+.”
“It's quite easy to me: just buy the dip on #Bitcoin. It will have massive wicks, liquidation crashes and so on. If there's a chance we'll see $70-72K, just buy that dip. I don't think we'll stall over the next weeks/months at anything less than $83k+. After that, consolidation and build-up of sideways action --> #Altcoins to do well & the final consolidation before new all-time highs happen.”
“I'd much rather don't want to see a correction all the way towards $68,000 for #Bitcoin in the coming weeks. That would show weakness to the entire impulse. If this is the end of the bear market, then we won't revisit there and just continue from here.”
“#Bitcoin is the cheapest it has ever been. https://t.co/CgiZGJ7L04”
“To be fair, on the short-term, I'm looking at a scenario like this on $ETH. Probably we'll get our standard weekend pump and then we'll get our standard Monday morning correction. Everything in between is relatively boring and shouldn't be traded unless you are an addict. Dips buying early next week is probably going to be favourable going forward.”
“I don't think we'll continue to go in one-go here. I'm looking for a leg lower and then I'll be punting some longs again. Saturdays are quite often quite slow on #Bitcoin, and that's what we're seeing. Sweep those lows, and I'll be a buyer <$76,000 or better even at $74,000. https://t.co/54wakaL8WA”
“The majority of the move on #Bitcoin is in, I think. We should easily consolidate here and have another impulse towards $81,000-83,000 and stall from there for the coming months. Result? #Altcoins to be picking up the pace as they've been falling behind. https://t.co/PMYCxKy6kw”
“No level has been hit yet on #Bitcoin, for me. However, you can clearly see that the moment that markets are waking up, you'll see a ton of leverage in the system, creating these massive wicks. Those are opportunities for you to be buying spot bags. Anyways, Looking at <$76,200 for an entry and/or <$74,000.”
“You're not too late to be buying #Altcoins or #Bitcoin. Far from it. This is just a minimal move at the start of a bull cycle. You're still very early.”
“An insane breakout of $ETH and I don't think we'll revisit $1,900 in the short-term again. My honest opinion is that this is likely going to stall after sweeping $2,465 and consolidate for a bit. Optimal entries? <$2,235, most definitely if ever there's a chance at $2,100, I'd be bidding that. That's before we'll be continuing the run to $3,500 or perhaps even an all-time high.”
“#Bitcoin is literally making a copy/paste of the 2022 breakout. Massive weekly candle after a period of consolidation and a sweep of the lows. What's next? I think we'll continue for a bit in order to: - Sweep the high at $83,000 confirming the bear market is over. - Test the 50-Week MA. I don't think we'll go through it in one-go, so those areas are technically where you'd want to be taking profits into Bitcoin and wait for slight corrections. Other than that, given the recent massive corrections on #Altcoins and macro changing a lot, it's going to be a lot of fun to hold altcoins.”