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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
53
Top 47% · #9 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
214
0 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
50.9%
54 correct / 52 incorrect · 108 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.09%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+19.3%
Equal stake on all 214 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.10%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (53) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.1% | 78 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 22 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.10% | 28 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
54 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“My expectations going into the coming week is that it won't be as bearish as the consensus is. We've just had a terrible week on the indices. Crypto has seen a relatively normal correction. I wouldn't be surprised if we're hitting the low of this correction somewhere in this week on #Bitcoin and indices and that we'll start to get some momentum again.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
95 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.08 | 50 | 25% |
90 days · 4h
“The markets are selling off during the weekend, as tokenized stocks have dropped substantially over the weekend. Is that a huge problem? That might be the case, however it's quite clear that there's a lot of fear among the markets. Liquidity of tokenized stocks isn't there yet, meaning that these corrections can happen quite quickly in a weekend with widespread demonstrations and all sort of news-related items. Aside from that, from a trading perspective, if there's going to be a continued correction taking place on the markets, I'd be willing to buy the dip on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins.”
“That's a possible bullish divergence on $ETH indicating that we're reversing back upwards here. https://t.co/gcUCxNxvFq https://t.co/fF5aPFAqUz”
“Honestly, I don't fancy the #Bitcoin chart as much, right now. It couldn't break through the $84,000 resistance level and is therefore showing weakness. It seems to be that, if $82,000 is also acting as resistance, the most obvious spot for a long will be <$80,000 as that liquidity is likely to be taken.”
“I'd prefer to see a strong breakout above $2,575 for $ETH. It's currently remaining quite calm and under critical resistances. Overall, my expectations are that this will outperform #Bitcoin for the coming period, but we need to see a little bit more strength. https://t.co/mKOfKAMwx8”
“One of the strongest markets ever. That's why I remain big time long on my #Altcoins as the upwards run as literally just started. My core positions: - $EIGEN - $TAO - $SEi - $W - $ONDO - $PLUME - near:native And some more. Ready to be going back into profits.”
“A pretty solid bounce from the markets as we're seeing a green day after a harsh correction. These corrections happen 1-2 times in a month, and then the markets simply continue to roll upwards. Just buy the dip on #Bitcoin. https://t.co/U1xuliqSsp”
“Unfortunately, $ETH couldn't break upwards, but the flipside of that is that we're getting into a phenomenal entry point here in this correction. https://t.co/SpXuyXOS0a”
“#Bitcoin looks to be that we're going to be seeing a larger form of correction. That means, we'll probably take the long side liquidity and reverse after that. Phenomenal entry opportunity. https://t.co/WezHPIOHxg”
“$PLUME is looking for a strong breakout here as it's facing a higher timeframe resistance. Will be fun. https://t.co/MtUkmjntLO”
“If you look at the picture of $ETH, nothing wrong is happening. It's just consolidation after a renewed push higher and even if this tests $2,530, that's completely fine. https://t.co/4Jyf0RgYQK”
“Many of these charts haven't had any bull run so far. $GRASS is an example. Very likely this will have a strong run due to the fact that it's an usecase that hasn't become the main narrative just yet. https://t.co/clEQGfmXN6”
“An ideal example of something that's about to break out: $PLUME. It's been consolidating for the entire year. That's nine full months. The moment that it breaks such a range, that's when you get a super volatile move to the upside. What could it be? 2x, 3x, 5x? I wouldn't be surprised if this does a 3-5x in the coming weeks if this high is taken out.”
“It's that stage of the markets where #Bitcoin consolidates and #Altcoins are simply generating a way higher return. That's why buying the dip is the game for coming months.”
“It's the same for $ETH. I mean, as long as this stays above $2,550, then there's no issue at all. Probably the right plan to simply buy the dip. https://t.co/FPChjQTx0j”