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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
53
Top 47% · #9 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
214
0 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
50.9%
54 correct / 52 incorrect · 108 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.09%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+19.3%
Equal stake on all 214 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.10%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (53) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.1% | 78 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 22 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.10% | 28 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
52 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The main thesis remains the same. Just having a correction here, this week, where we'll find a bottom somewhere in this week / next week on #Altcoins, #Bitcoin and the indices. After that; we'll rotate back upwards and the next leg up will take place. #Bitcoin's bottom was hit earlier. These are all corrections for buying.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
95 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.08 | 50 | 25% |
90 days · 4h
“I've covered #Bitcoin yesterday, and I mentioned that we were facing some crucial resistance zones. Couldn't break. Now it did hold support, #Altcoins are having a little bit of a struggle pacing up with Bitcoin, which is normal. Confidence is slightly lost, and that will be back. As long as Bitcoin makes a higher low now, it's very likely that we'll just proceed moving upwards.”
“$ETH has been chopping around for a long time now, so it's just a matter of time before we'll be seeing a big breakout taking place. https://t.co/LzfZqo0C7w”
“The fun part with $ETH is that there is no breakout on Ethereum as of yet. I think that the next push upwards will surprise a lot of people and generate lot more FOMO. https://t.co/OF0Rx4eqi4”
“Phenomenal skills when it comes to making analysis with a pencil. Anyways, it's quite clear that #Bitcoin doesn't want to go down and that it's the upper scenario. Flipping $85,000 would be a trigger that we're going to be seeing more upwards momentum here and potentially even seeing $90,000 as a next target.”
“The unemployment data is 4.2% vs 4.1%. Essentially, there's no data in there. The FED is likely going to remain rates unchanged, which means that we won't have rate cuts. That means = bullish for #Bitcoin. Rates slowly upwards and/or stable is completely fine for the markets. Rate cuts = the end of the bull run.”
“To be fair, there are multiple assets that are ready to be making a new leg upwards. Ultimately, this comes down to #Bitcoin breaking upwards, for sure. Just having a small eye on the markets, and things like $XPL, $EIGEN, $PLUME and many others are eager for that next push.”
“If you're enthusiastic of the recent moves on the markets on the #Altcoins, then zoom out. This is ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85. You can hardly see that it has been moving upwards. This is just a small start. https://t.co/TlL7zfC892”
“If you're enthusiastic of the recent moves on the markets on the #Altcoins, then zoom out. This is ethereum:0xaea46a60368a7bd060eec7df8cba43b7ef41ad85. You can hardly see that it has been moving upwards. This is just a small start. https://t.co/TlL7zfC892”
“I've said it a few times over the past few days. #Bitcoin need to break through $84,800 in order to get some momentum. Unfortunately this didn't happen and markets are correcting. I'm interested to see what Bitcoin will be doing around the $81,800 mark as a potential test. Losing that level would mean that we're going into a multi-week correction on the markets (which I doubt).”
“Classic little sweep on the markets of #Bitcoin. Some #Altcoins are going up, but no clear sign that we continue to push higher. I'd want to see $84,500 being reclaimed and then we can party again. For now, waiting for a little lower and then buying the dip on most assets. https://t.co/XS7bd5lKc6”
“$PLUME is one of those charts that's still ready to be breaking out upwards. It's accumulating for approximately nine months and no breakout has happened. Matter of time until it does. https://t.co/W6hFKNKhJ9”
“I'm still active on FOMO. Onchain hasn't been trending the past few weeks, as the large caps have been taking momentum (have been trading $SUI, $AVAX, $NEAR). Expecting to see liquidity flow back towards the onchain ecosystem. Betting on $BOW, robinhood:0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277 and the $STONK ecoystem as my main plays. Still at $9,600. Join me here: https://t.co/R1gbDwrRAY”
“Fantastic run on $NEAR and I would be very, very pleased if it breaks through here. In the short term, I doubt it. I think that liquidity will flow towards other narratives that are going to follow $NEAR in its footsteps. Likely it will consolidate here, other assets run, #Bitcoin corrects and $NEAR goes back to $3 and then runs again later in Q4.”
“The problem is not whether you should be selling your positions. The problem is getting into them when they start to fire. That's why you can still accumulate #Altcoins at low valuations. Once they go, you're too late, minimal opportunities arise. $SUI is still fairly low valued. Many coins within the $ETH ecosystem. RWA tokens are undervalued; ethereum:0xfaba6f8e4a5e8ab82f62fe7c39859fa577269be3 and $PLUME. $SOL is undervalued. So many narratives yet to move.”