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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 4 more calls to rank
Scored calls
11
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
66.7%
4 correct / 2 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.12%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+1.3%
Equal stake on all 11 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
+0.09%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (73) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 36% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 64.9% | 81 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.8% | 100 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.09% | 25 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 4h
5 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Ultimately, the game is to find asymmetric opportunities within the markets. If you're monitoring where the world is heading, then there's one final solution that will safe you. Simply buy #Bitcoin. Gold has had it's run, the upwards return forward-looking isn't as positive at all currently due to the upside volatility that we've seen. #Bitcoin hasn't seen that and there's still a lot of demand flowing into the markets. Simply stack #Bitcoin.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.11 | 81 | 25% |
“#Bitcoin isn't that bearish. It's also not very bullish, yet. It just needs to take out the high and then we'll start to accelerate. Most likely if US Open is green, we'll start to see outperformance here as we've just witnessed a classic correction on Sunday. To me, higher timeframe based, everything looks like it's a normal correction before the next impulse move upwards to $90,000.”
“There's no need to jump into an overly bearish view if the markets are just consolidating in a normal manner. Next weeks we're likely trending back upwards on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins.”
“Today has showcased why reading much about sentiment on social media makes absolutely no sense. Sure, corrections happen. Some are heavier than others. However, this drop on the markets have been relatively shallow and there's nothing to fear about. Very quick bounce upwards on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins and I would assume that we'll likely remain bullish for the coming period.”
“The #Bitcoin vs. Gold chart is incredible. Bitcoin is still down 50% vs. Gold in terms of valuations. It's comparable to the period in 2023 where we barely broke out of the downtrend and started to go up. What's next? A period of consolidation where some #Altcoins can have their first breakouts and momentum, after which the entire market goes up a lot more.”