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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
89
Top 11% · #3 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
391
10 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
58.2%
227 correct / 163 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
+1.82%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
+713.0%
Equal stake on all 391 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.50%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (83) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 27% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 58.7% | 97 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −167.0% | 21 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.50% | 91 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
1070 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Nothing changes on the picture for bitcoin:native, aside from the fact that we're slowly building bullish divergences on lower timeframes. https://t.co/UuKVXypCO3”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.3% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 91 | 25% |
All time · 7d
“When it comes to $ETH, there are three levels to monitor here. I'm looking at a case of $2,355 sweep first, and that probably drags it to $2,300 of which I'd like to start building a position. Best case: $2,200 would be the ideal spot for long entries. However, ultimately, this dip is to get yourself positioned before $ETH goes to $3,000.”
“The answer is: not yet, for #Bitcoin. Clearly rejecting at $77,700 and therefore expecting to see a sweep of the recent low at $76,400 and a test at the zone at $76,200. If that doesn't hold, we'll see a tremendous opportunity at $74,000 as a potential test and entry zone. https://t.co/fC6rquFdqU https://t.co/DOTm6Nym0w”
“As #Bitcoin is likely to break to the upside, I would expect to see a strong breakout of $SUI on the horizon. Breaking through $0.7330 triggers that move and the next stop then should be $0.87-0.90. I would also not be surprised if the BTC pair starts to break out and the trend goes to $1.50.”
“This is very likely going to break upwards. The reasoning behind that is super simple, as it's currently been taking the liquidity beneath the lows. Next stop: $82,700 for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/1zhVnf6iMZ”
“Thank you very much, sweep of the lows has happened on #Bitcoin and that was much needed. I don't think we'll drop much from here, much rather we continue to go sideways in this range before we'll take out higher. The best part: #Altcoins are holding up quite nicely vs. Bitcoin. Time to see the next rally.”
“The chart of #Bitcoin remains unchanged as the choppiness continues. It's clear that #Altcoins are looking to break upwards, as most of them are trending up against bitcoin:native. However, I wouldn't be surprised if there's a little sweep on Bitcoin to take the liquidity and get ourselves at $76,000 as a potential entry zone.”
“Given that #Bitcoin is clearly remaining in this range, I assume that we'll start to see more and more #Altcoins break out against Bitcoin as the momentum shifts. Multiple reasons: 1 - Updates are finally being posted as the market sentiment has shifted. 2 - Liquidity will flow from Bitcoin towards other assets as the upside is relatively capped on #Bitcoin, for now.”
“I wouldn't be surprised if bitcoin:native is taking the lows and finds itself back again at either $76K or $77K. The range is clearly defined, and what does that mean? Exactly, below the range low and/or the range low is where I'm getting interested. https://t.co/MtBKHGE6CA”
“#Bitcoin remains to be stuck in the range, which means that, after rejecting the highs, I wouldn't be surprised if we're going to be seeing a little sweep towards the lows again. https://t.co/5GXe7I1Bad”
“A strong sign for the markets is the current rise in $SOL vs. bitcoin:native. I don't think that this will stall. The reason is that we're breaking a one-year downtrend and have barely started trending upward. Target zone is still another 30% up from here. https://t.co/87b2EihzrL https://t.co/yLppmxTSGq”
“$ETH vs. bitcoin:native remains to be going sideways and looks to be going into a great entry zone here. I expect $ETH to outperform Bitcoin for the coming month due to the Clarity Act approval. https://t.co/SjQnnp2ACP”
“Where are all those memecoin gains going to go to? They'll be buying bitcoin:native, $ETH and some other #Altcoins that catch the narrative. This bull run is literally only getting started and we're already seeing big numbers. Can't wait for the next 1-2 years.”
“Where are all those memecoin gains going to go to? They'll be buying bitcoin:native, $ETH and some other #Altcoins that catch the narrative. This bull run is literally only getting started and we're already seeing big numbers. Can't wait for the next 1-2 years.”
“It's relatively simple for bitcoin:native. It flipped $78K after touching $77K in the liquidity sweep. It's now facing the final hurdle before this will start attacking the highs again. What will the target then be? $82.7K. Nothing else. https://t.co/Y9CjwhTZGr”