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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
85
Top 15% · #2 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
52
10 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
55.8%
29 correct / 23 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
+1.86%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
+96.6%
Equal stake on all 52 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+0.92%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (77) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 8% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.5% | 93 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −41.7% | 62 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.92% | 45 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
125 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH remains to be in a beautiful accumulation area, where I'd expect it to be breaking upwards in the coming period. Regulation will come for digital assets, maybe not through the Clarity Act, but for sure through a different way. https://t.co/4QzA7AOCI5”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
90 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.10 | 97 | 25% |
30 days · 7d
“Rejection at the $76,200 area, means that we're going down further with #Bitcoin. That's fine. We're looking at a technical correction and we're about to sweep those lows again and potentially get to $74,000. That's where I'm going to be interested. https://t.co/kkRN8fpQwl”
“I'm positively surprised by the price action of #Bitcoin so far. Not dumping through, little bounce back upwards. Everyone, their mother, their cousin and their grandmom are currently shorting #Bitcoin as a shock event, but I don't think that's the play when we've been sweeping the lows.”
“A scenario where there's a classic sweep of the lows, just before the Clarity Act gets approved, and the bull resumes afterwards. I'd buy that. It's going to be super volatile coming few days for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/5fxtIX7e4d”
“I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here. Mentioned it earlier, but we need to be looking at $78,000 as support. As long as that happens, we're likely going to see a strong move upwards to $81,000 from here. https://t.co/o5wpj0H6AF”