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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
95
Top 5% · #1 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
57
12 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
60.7%
17 correct / 11 incorrect · 29 neutral
Avg return / call
+3.47%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+197.9%
Equal stake on all 57 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+2.06%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (88) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.5% | 83 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −39.0% | 83 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.06% | 86 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
134 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I've mentioned this before: The $84,000 level is a crucial one to break for #Bitcoin. It didn't. We continue to consolidate. That's why I think that $82,000 is a level which must-hold. The reason for that is that I think that once it loses that level, we'll start to grab liquidity way lower and we'll accelerate deeper. What's on the cards then? Potentially $79K, or even $77K would be possible. A longer period of consolidation then.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
90 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 97 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“Naturally, I don't see many reasons to be bearish on #Bitcoin. It's currently facing a crucial resistance zone, which we need to break through. Other than that, this type of low volatility is great for #Altcoins. That's why you see a lot more momentum coming into those altcoins where I think that this won't stop. Breaking $84,000 is a trigger towards potentially $90,000.”
“I do think that this is the case. Honestly, the next #Bitcoin peak will likely be the tipping point for the entire financial industry. Payment rails on blockchain are so much better as a product than the old financial system. There will be more and more liquidity moving onchain, through which we'll go through a face of years of reorganisation. Before that: the biggest bull cycle ever.”
“It's very simple. The #Bitcoin bull market has barely started, as we're still massively undervalued vs. literally every asset out there. You're not bullish enough. Erase the case of diminishing returns and just enjoy this cycle. https://t.co/WTOMKLHkqK”
“I'd prefer to see a strong breakout above $2,575 for $ETH. It's currently remaining quite calm and under critical resistances. Overall, my expectations are that this will outperform #Bitcoin for the coming period, but we need to see a little bit more strength. https://t.co/mKOfKAMwx8”
“Older coins can turn around quickly. celestia:native, $STRK, they are all doing incredible and not many people are talking about this. The markets are an ocean of endless opportunities. I'll be surprised to see if the entire #Ethereum ecosystem won't be showing more momentum in the coming months.”
“#Bitcoin holds crucial levels of support and starts to trend upwards. That means that we're in that period of time where you'd likely are going to see a lot more strength coming in from #Altcoins much rather than Bitcoin. https://t.co/WZeOabYNUY”
“One of the strongest markets ever. That's why I remain big time long on my #Altcoins as the upwards run as literally just started. My core positions: - $EIGEN - $TAO - $SEi - $W - $ONDO - $PLUME - near:native And some more. Ready to be going back into profits.”
“A pretty solid bounce from the markets as we're seeing a green day after a harsh correction. These corrections happen 1-2 times in a month, and then the markets simply continue to roll upwards. Just buy the dip on #Bitcoin. https://t.co/U1xuliqSsp”
“Unfortunately, $ETH couldn't break upwards, but the flipside of that is that we're getting into a phenomenal entry point here in this correction. https://t.co/SpXuyXOS0a”
“I've said this before, but this is the area where you'd want to become interested into buying #Bitcoin. Quite an organic correction on the markets and therefore retesting the previous zone of consolidation. https://t.co/eD5EH8AJbk”
“I've mentioned this yesterday. Most likely we'll see a sweep of the recent lows for #Bitcoin and that should be the end of this correction. The sweep has now happened. https://t.co/ed28YTIOB5”
“We're almost at the end of the correction for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/sAacnsE4J5”
“#Bitcoin looks to be that we're going to be seeing a larger form of correction. That means, we'll probably take the long side liquidity and reverse after that. Phenomenal entry opportunity. https://t.co/WezHPIOHxg”
“I'm standing by this thesis. Sure, $NEAR is one of the anchors of the portfolio. It doesn't mean that I'm going to be holding this for eternity. I'm a trader and I'm looking for asymmetric opportunities. That's why I rotate within the cycle, but that also mean I'll be rotating more towards #Bitcoin or just towards cash or even other assets. My top picks I'm holding right now: $PLUME, $ONDO, $W, $EIGEN & $TAO.”