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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 5 more calls to rank
Scored calls
10
10 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
1 correct / 2 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.05%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-0.5%
Equal stake on all 10 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
+0.23%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (54) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 22.0% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −7.0% | 89 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.23% | 22 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · stated
39 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I've mentioned this before: The $84,000 level is a crucial one to break for #Bitcoin. It didn't. We continue to consolidate. That's why I think that $82,000 is a level which must-hold. The reason for that is that I think that once it loses that level, we'll start to grab liquidity way lower and we'll accelerate deeper. What's on the cards then? Potentially $79K, or even $77K would be possible. A longer period of consolidation then.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.04 | 56 | 25% |
“I'd prefer to see a strong breakout above $2,575 for $ETH. It's currently remaining quite calm and under critical resistances. Overall, my expectations are that this will outperform #Bitcoin for the coming period, but we need to see a little bit more strength. https://t.co/mKOfKAMwx8”
“One of the strongest markets ever. That's why I remain big time long on my #Altcoins as the upwards run as literally just started. My core positions: - $EIGEN - $TAO - $SEi - $W - $ONDO - $PLUME - near:native And some more. Ready to be going back into profits.”
“A pretty solid bounce from the markets as we're seeing a green day after a harsh correction. These corrections happen 1-2 times in a month, and then the markets simply continue to roll upwards. Just buy the dip on #Bitcoin. https://t.co/U1xuliqSsp”
“Unfortunately, $ETH couldn't break upwards, but the flipside of that is that we're getting into a phenomenal entry point here in this correction. https://t.co/SpXuyXOS0a”
“We're almost at the end of the correction for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/sAacnsE4J5”
“#Bitcoin looks to be that we're going to be seeing a larger form of correction. That means, we'll probably take the long side liquidity and reverse after that. Phenomenal entry opportunity. https://t.co/WezHPIOHxg”
“$ETH has been chopping around for a long time now, so it's just a matter of time before we'll be seeing a big breakout taking place. https://t.co/LzfZqo0C7w”
“Monitoring the chart on #Bitcoin tells my gut that we're most likely not going to fall that deep. Effectively, we're currently at range low and #Altcoins are showing some interesting signs that they want to proceed again. #Bitcoin needs to reclaim $78,000, but once that happens, we might be in for the next rally towards $90,000 over the next few weeks. (And yes, if this corrects to $74,000, because $78,000 doesn't break, I'm still buying)”